长株潭产业发展与环境污染的灰色关联分析

发布时间：2018-03-16 02:04

本文选题：产业结构　切入点：三次产业环境污染　出处：《湖南农业大学》2010年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 在现代社会,产业结构作为联系人类经济活动与生态环境之间的一条重要纽带,不仅是一个“资源配置器”,更是环境资源的消耗和污染物产生的质(种类)和量的控制体。产业结构、布局是否合理直接关系到人们生活环境质量的优劣,影响到环境经济两大系统能否和谐。本文运用灰色关联分析研究了长株潭2001年至2007年三次产业结构的发展状况及各次产业行业内部的发展与同时段影响城市环境质量污染物的相关性,在此基础上运用定量分析和定性分析相结合的方法,分析了长株潭产业结构对环境的影响,并由此对长株潭产业结构调整提出了建议和对策。主要结论与成果如下： (1)产业结构是一个动态系统,产业结构的变化是社会-环境学系统内各因素相互作用、相互影响的结果。系统内能量、物质、信息等任一因素发生转化都将对产业结构变化产生影响。因此研究产业结构与环境污染之间的关系时,应该对产业结构做出动态系统的分析,并结合产业结构的空间分布差异对其综合分析。 (2)本文运用灰色关联分析对长株潭三次产业发展进行研究,得出第三产业是长株潭经济发展的主要贡献力量,其次是第二产业,第一产业对GDP的贡献率最小。在第二产业内部,工业与第二产业的关联度很大,且远远高于建筑业与第二产业增加值的关联度,反映了长株潭工业在第二产业的主导地位。第三产业虽然与GDP的关联度较大,但是其内部发展层次较低主要集中在科技含量较低的批发零售贸易、餐饮业上。 (3)由于三次产业的生产方式、工艺流程、能源结构以及产品的不同,其对城市生态环境的影响也不同。综合分析三次产业对GDP的贡献度及其生产特点,可以得出：长株潭第二产业对环境的影响在三次产业中最大,第一产业和第三产业对环境影响偏小。但第三产业的批零餐饮业、旅游业等行业发展迅速,其对环境的污染不容忽视。 (4)综合分析长株潭三市单位面积和单位产值所产生的环境污染物,并将其与湖南省平均水平比较,得到三市之中长沙经济发展所带来了环境压力最小,株洲次之,湘潭的经济增长对环境的影响最为严重。因此,株洲和湘潭有必要进行产业结构调整、转型、升级以实现环境优化经济增长。 (5)基于对三次产业的总体分析,得出工业污染是影响长株潭环境质量恶化的的主要因素,根据长株潭三市工业行业与环境污染物的关联度排序,可知,长沙以新发展起来的通信电子设备制造业和传统轻工业中的食品工业的污染为主,株洲和湘潭则以石化工业、机械制造工业、冶金工业等重工业造成的污染为主,三市共同之处是电力燃气工业的污染都比较小。此外,通过分析长株潭三市的工业主导行业与工业三废的灰色关联序,得知,工业废气排放与各行业工业总产值的关联度始终保持高水平,始终大于工业废水排放与各行业产值的关联度。工业废气成为影响长株潭三市环境质量的主要因素。 (6)针对上述问题对长株潭产业结构调整提出以下建议：合理调整产业结构,优先发展第三产业,同时巩固第二产业的特色产业；政策引导和市场调节双管齐下引导工业结构调整；针对重污染行业进行集中治理；提升第三产业内部发展的层次；大力发展生态农业,环境经济协调发展。
[Abstract]:In modern society, the industrial structure is regarded as an important link between human economic activities and ecological environment, is not only a "resource allocation", is the environmental resource consumption and pollutant mass (type) control volume and volume. The industrial structure, the layout is reasonable or not directly related to the quality of the living environment of people the quality of the two systems affect the economic environment harmonious.
This paper uses the gray correlation analysis effects of Changsha Zhuzhou Xiangtan from 2001 to 2007 the development of the three industry structure and industry the internal development and the same time correlation between the quality of city environment pollution, on the basis of using the method of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, analysis of the impact of Changzhutan industrial structure on the environment, and then puts forward some suggestions and Countermeasures of Changzhutan industrial structure adjustment. The main conclusions are as follows:
(1) the industrial structure is a dynamic system, the change of industrial structure is the social environment, the interaction of various factors in the system, the result of mutual influence. In the system of energy, material, information and other factors will be transformed to any changes in the industrial structure influence. Therefore study of relationship between industry structure and environmental pollution when should make dynamic system analysis on the industrial structure, and industrial structure differences in the spatial distribution of its comprehensive analysis.
(2) this paper uses grey relational analysis to research the Changzhutan three industrial development, the third industry is the major contributor of Chang Zhu Tan economic development, followed by the second industry, the first contribution of industry to GDP minimum. In the second industry, industry and the second industry is of great relevance, which is much higher than the the construction industry and the second industry to increase the correlation value, reflecting the Chang-Zhu-Tan industrial dominant position in the second industry. The third industry although the correlation with GDP is larger, but the internal development of the low level is mainly concentrated in the low technological content of wholesale and retail trade, catering industry.
(3) due to the three industrial production, technological process, energy structure and different products, the impact on the city's ecological environment is also different. The comprehensive analysis of the three industry contribution to GDP and its production characteristic, we can conclude that: the influence of Changzhutan second industry on the environment in the three industries, the largest. Effect of the first industry and the third industry on the environment is small. But the third industry wholesale and catering industry, tourism industry is developing rapidly, the environment pollution can not be ignored.
(4) a comprehensive analysis of the Changzhutan three city per unit area and per unit of output produced by environmental pollutants, and compared with the average level of Hunan Province, three city of Changsha economic development brought minimum environmental pressure, followed by Zhuzhou, Xiangtan's economic growth impact on the environment is the most serious. Therefore, it is necessary to Zhuzhou and Xiangtan to carry out industrial restructuring, transformation, upgrade to achieve optimal growth of environment.
(5) the overall analysis of the three industries, the industrial pollution is affecting Changzhutan environmental quality deterioration of the main factors, according to the ranking correlation Changzhutan three industry environmental pollutants and the Changsha in communication electronic equipment newly developed manufacturing industry in light industry and traditional food industrial pollution, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan in the petrochemical industry, machinery manufacturing industry, heavy industry, the pollution caused by the metallurgical industry, three city common electricity and gas industry pollution are relatively small. In addition, through the analysis of Changzhutan three city leading industry and industrial wastes in the grey order, that correlation of total industrial emissions and the industrial output value is always maintained at a high level, the correlation is greater than the industrial wastewater and the industrial output value. Industrial emission is the effect of long line three cities main environmental quality Factor.
(6) according to the problem of Changzhutan industrial structure adjustment put forward the following suggestions: reasonable adjustment of industrial structure, giving priority to the development of the third industry, the second industry and consolidate characteristics; both guide the adjustment of industrial structure policy guidance and market regulation; heavily polluting industries centralized management; improve the internal development of the third industry development level; ecological agriculture, the coordinated development of environment and economy.

【学位授予单位】：湖南农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：F127;X196

【引证文献】