“后工业化”理论与经济增长:基于产业结构视角的分析

发布时间：2018-03-25 08:04

本文选题：产业结构“后工业化”理论　切入点：经济增长　出处：《社会科学战线》2013年04期

【摘要】：西方传统产业结构理论在克拉克法则基础上提出了"后工业化"理论。但这一理论不仅已由实践验证其荒谬,在理论上也漏洞百出,这既是其研究区间的历史局限性所致,也是其理论前提的谬误使然。为此,我们以经济增长率指标取代其虚拟化的经济增长前提,从GDP的产业结构出发,以国际产业结构的存在为理论背景,考察了世界主要发达国家长期经济增长过程中产业结构演进与经济增长的内在关系,并对中美两国进行了数量分析。结果证明,当前仍然是第二次产业对经济增长起着决定性作用的历史阶段,仍然处于工业社会之中。这也是在同等的世界经济条件下,以"后工业社会"自诩的美国经济发展速度远远低于尚在工业化中期阶段的中国且诱发金融危机的根本原因。
[Abstract]:The western traditional industrial structure theory puts forward the theory of "post-industrialization" on the basis of Clark's rule, but this theory has not only been proved by practice to its absurdity, but also has many flaws in theory, which is the result of the historical limitation of its research interval. It is also the fallacy of its theoretical premise. Therefore, we substitute the economic growth rate index for its virtualized economic growth premise, starting from the industrial structure of GDP, taking the existence of international industrial structure as the theoretical background. This paper examines the relationship between the evolution of industrial structure and economic growth during the long-term economic growth of major developed countries in the world, and makes a quantitative analysis of China and the United States. This is still a historical stage in which the second industry plays a decisive role in economic growth and is still in an industrial society. The postindustrial society boasts that the economic development of the United States is far lower than that of China, which is still in the middle stage of industrialization, and the root cause of the financial crisis.
【作者单位】：吉林大学东北亚研究中心;
【分类号】：F062.9

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