内生增长模型的理论分析与实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-30 05:12

本文选题：内生经济增长 + 生产函数　；参考：《华侨大学》2005年博士论文

【摘要】：经济增长理论是经济学研究中最古老而又最时髦的课题,也是经济学争议最大的研究领域之一。本文采用数理分析和实证研究相结合的方法研究经济增长问题。在论述的过程中,本文以宏观经济理论为研究起点,以内生经济增长理论的分析思想和方法为研究主线,对内生经济增长问题进行了较为深入和系统的研究。该研究对于我们正确认识我国经济增长的质量和效益,对于政府部门科学合理地制定经济发展政策和进行宏观调控,对于保持我国国民经济的持续、快速和健康发展都具有重要的理论意义和实践价值。第一章导论是本文以后各章研究的基础。本章首先介绍论文选题的意义和研究方法;其次介绍经济增长理论中的基本概念和经济增长理论的发展演变;接着本章介绍经济增长要素贡献份额的传统测算方法,并对该方法进行简要的评价。最后,本章指出本文的创新点及以后需要进一步研究的问题。第二章提出经济增长决定因素及其贡献的新测算方法,这是本文的理论创新之一。本章认为,生产过程中技术水平的变化以投入要素为载体,通过投入要素生产率(或利用率)的变化这一可观测和可度量的指标表示出来。鉴于这一考虑,本章构造了反映技术进步的新型生产函数。在该函数中,其中产出不仅与各要素投入量有关,而且与各要素生产率有关。其次,运用所建立的生产函数,通过严密的数理分析,对产出增长方程进行了新的分解,为衡量经济增长各决定因素的贡献提供了理论和方法依据。第三章依据第二章提出的经济增长决定因素及其贡献的新测算方法,建立了反映期初资本存量、本期投资和劳动投入及其生产率的生产函数和增长核算方程。其次,运用经济计量软件和统计数据,对我国经济增长的质量和效益进行了客观如实地分析和评价,得出结论认为:我国经济增氏方式不仅仍是粗放型的,而且随着时间的推移其粗放程度在近年来有加剧的趋势。同时,本章还结合我国的实际情况,对我国投入要素效率变化对经济增长贡献份额较低的原因进行了一定的分析说明。第四章从另一角度探讨内生经济增长问题,是本文的第二个理论创新。知识与技术有密切的联系,技术是知识的重要组成部分,它是知识的物化,这就是我们在前两章所论述的技术的概念,可称之为一种显性的狭义知识。实际上,知识不仅包括以上所述的技术,它还包括由研究与开发所产生的新知识,管理过程中个人和组织获得的共享知识等,这些都是一种隐性的广义知识,是不可观测和度量的。本章首先建立了包含广义知识要素的生产函数,其中不仅将知识作为一个独立的投入要素加以考虑,而且还考虑了土地、矿藏等资源要素对产出的影响。同时,为使所建立的生产函数符合更经济实际,该生产函数还放松了规模报酬不变的假定。其次,通过对增长模型中资本和知识动态变化的数理分析,本章得到经济系统趋于稳定状态增长的一般条件,并分析了其经济意义。第五章在第四章建立的经济增长模型的基础上,通过引入劳动参与率的概念以及劳动参与率的决定方程,建立了劳动投入内生化的经济增长模型。这是本文的第三个理论创新。本章认为,劳动参与率不仅与人口数量、知识水平和工资水平有关,而且也与社会经济体制(或
[Abstract]:The theory of economic growth is the oldest and most fashionable subject in economic research and one of the most controversial areas in economics. This paper uses mathematical analysis and empirical research to study the problem of economic growth. In the process of discussion, this paper takes the macro economic theory as the starting point and the theory of endogenous economic growth. This paper makes a thorough and systematic study of the problem of endogenous economic growth. This study will correctly understand the quality and benefit of economic growth in our country, and make a scientific and rational policy of economic development and macro adjustment and control for the government departments to keep the national economy sustainable and rapid. And healthy development both have important theoretical and practical value.
The first chapter is the basis of the study of the chapters in the following chapters. This chapter first introduces the significance and research methods of the thesis. Secondly, it introduces the basic concepts in the economic growth theory and the evolution of the economic growth theory; then this chapter introduces the traditional calculation method of the contribution share of the factors of economic growth, and gives a brief evaluation of the method. Finally, this chapter points out the innovation of this paper and the problems that need further study in the future.
The second chapter puts forward a new method of estimating the determinants and contributions of economic growth, which is one of the theoretical innovations of this article. This chapter holds that the changes in the technological level in the production process are expressed as the carrier of input elements and by the observable and measurable indicators of the changes in the input factor productivity (or utilization). The chapter constructs a new production function which reflects the technological progress. In this function, the output is not only related to the input of various elements, but also related to the productivity of all factors. Secondly, a new decomposition of the output growth equation is carried out by means of the established production function and the rigorous mathematical analysis, which is a tribute to the determinants of economic growth. The contribution provides the basis for theory and method.
The third chapter, based on the new calculation method of the determinants and contributions of economic growth proposed in the second chapter, has established the capital stock, the production function and the growth accounting equation of the investment and labor input and productivity of the current period. Secondly, the quality and benefit of the economic growth of China are carried out by using the econometric software and statistical data. On the basis of analysis and evaluation, the conclusion is that China's economic Zeng's mode is not only extensive, but its extensive degree has intensified in recent years. At the same time, this chapter also combines the actual situation of our country to the reason that the contribution of input factor efficiency to economic growth is low in our country. A certain analysis.
The fourth chapter discusses the problem of endogenous economic growth from another angle. It is the second theoretical innovation of this article. There is a close connection between knowledge and technology. Technology is an important part of knowledge. It is the materialization of knowledge. This is the concept of technology we discussed in the first two chapters, which can be called a dominant and narrow knowledge. In fact, knowledge is not only a kind of knowledge. Including the above technology, it also includes the new knowledge produced by research and development, the shared knowledge acquired by individuals and organizations in the process of management. These are all implicit generalized knowledge, which are unobservable and measured. In this chapter, a production function containing generalized knowledge essential elements is first established, not only a knowledge is used as a single knowledge. The independent input factor is considered, and the effect of the resource factors such as land and mineral resources is considered. At the same time, in order to make the production function conform to the more economical reality, the production function also relaxes the assumption that the scale return is unchanged. Secondly, this chapter obtains the dynamic change of capital and knowledge in the growth model. The general conditions for the growth of the economic system tend to be stable, and its economic significance is analyzed.
In the fifth chapter, on the basis of the economic growth model established in the fourth chapter, by introducing the concept of labor participation rate and the determining equation of the labor participation rate, the economic growth model of labor input is established. This is the third theoretical innovation of this article. This chapter holds that the labor participation rate is not only with the population, the knowledge level and the wage water. Peace is related, and it is also associated with the social and economic system (or

【学位授予单位】：华侨大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2005
【分类号】：F061.2

【引证文献】