北京市出口贸易对碳排放的影响研究——基于主要工业行业的分析

发布时间：2018-05-17 02:38

本文选题：出口贸易 + 工业行业　；参考：《华东经济管理》2013年11期

【摘要】：随着"十二五"规划的全面实施,关于如何协同实现"十二五"规划设定的外贸增长目标和碳排放减排目标,获得了越来越多的关注。文章采用因素分解分析法,以北京市各主要工业行业为研究对象,选取北京市2001年、2006年和2011年三个时间点的数据进行分析,定量测算"十五"和"十一五"期间北京市出口贸易通过三种效应对工业碳排放的影响。结果表明,北京市出口贸易对碳排放影响的规模效应为正,技术效应和结构效应为负,由于规模效应大大超过了技术效应和结构效应之和,因此总效应为正,出口贸易的扩大会对北京市碳减排产生不利影响,并据此提出了北京市实现"十二五"碳减排目标和外贸发展目标相容性的对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the comprehensive implementation of the 12th Five-Year Plan, more and more attention has been paid to how to achieve the foreign trade growth target and the carbon emission reduction target set in the 12th Five-Year Plan. This paper uses factor decomposition analysis method to analyze the data of three time points in 2001, 2006 and 2011, taking the main industrial industries in Beijing as the research object. The effects of Beijing's export trade on industrial carbon emissions during the 10th Five-Year Plan and the 11th Five-Year Plan are quantitatively estimated. The results show that the scale effect of export trade on carbon emissions is positive, the technical effect and structural effect are negative, and the total effect is positive because the scale effect is much more than the sum of the technical effect and structural effect. The expansion of export trade will have a negative impact on the carbon emission reduction in Beijing. Accordingly, the countermeasures and suggestions for the compatibility between the carbon emission reduction target and the foreign trade development target of Beijing during the 12th Five-Year Plan are put forward.
【作者单位】：合肥学院思想政治理论课教学部;对外经济贸易大学法学院;安徽省林业厅;
【基金】：国家社科学基金项目(12BJY141)
【分类号】：X196;F752.62;F224

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