碳排放与经济增长关系及驱动因素分析——以西北地区为例

发布时间：2018-05-31 14:01

本文选题：碳排放 + 脱钩　；参考：《资源开发与市场》2013年12期

【摘要】：选取2000—2010年我国西北地区(陕西、甘肃、青海、宁夏、新疆)5个省区能源消费数据和经济数据作为样本数据,根据IPCC碳排放计算指南,测算出西北各地区的碳排放量;采用脱钩理论对西北地区碳排放与经济增长脱钩状态进行分析,运用LMDI分解方法构建碳排放因素分解模型深入研究其驱动因素。研究结论显示,2001—2010年西北地区经济增长与碳排放的脱钩状态趋于不稳定状态,其中2002年、2004年为强脱钩,2001年、2007年、2009年、2010年为弱脱钩,2003年、2005年、2008年为扩展性负脱钩,2006年为增长连接;经济规模持续扩大是西北地区碳排放快速增长的关键因素,能源强度下降是抑制西北地区碳排放增长的主要因素,产业结构优化升级和能源结构调整是控制碳排放增加的潜在因素。
[Abstract]:The energy consumption data and economic data of five provinces in Northwest China (Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang) from 2000 to 2010 were selected as sample data. According to the IPCC carbon emission calculation guide, the carbon emissions of Northwest China were calculated. The decoupling theory is used to analyze the decoupling state between carbon emissions and economic growth in Northwest China, and the driving factors of carbon emission factor decomposition model are built by LMDI decomposition method. The research results show that the decoupling state between economic growth and carbon emissions tends to be unstable in the northwest region of China from 2001 to 2010. Among them, strong decoupling in 2002, strong decoupling in 2004, weak decoupling in 2001, 2007, 2009, 2010, extended negative decoupling in 2003, 2005, 2008, and growth link in 2006; sustained expansion of economic scale is a key factor in the rapid growth of carbon emissions in Northwest China, The decrease of energy intensity is the main factor to restrain the increase of carbon emissions in Northwest China, and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and the adjustment of energy structure are the potential factors to control the increase of carbon emissions.
【作者单位】：西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40771054) 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金联合赞助项目(编号:20106203110002) 西北师范大学知识与科技创新团队项目(编号:nwnu-kjcxgc-03-50)
【分类号】：X196;F127;F224

【参考文献】