贸易开放与经济增长的内生性研究新进展

发布时间：2018-06-27 13:51

本文选题：贸易开放 + 经济增长　；参考：《经济评论》2011年06期

【摘要】：关于贸易开放和经济增长的关系在经济学界一直存在分歧,尤其表现在Rodriguez和Rodrik(2000)的评论中。在过去的十年中,数据的丰富和数据质量的提高,新的工具变量的发现以及新的计量方法的运用,使得该领域成为国际经济学的热点领域之一。本文首先介绍了贸易开放的内生性表现,然后从工具变量法、倍差法、配对法和其他识别方法等四个部分展开介绍近年来在这些领域中控制贸易开放的内生性方法,重点关注新的工具变量的构造。应用这些控制内生性方法的研究表明,贸易对于人均收入具有显著地正效应,并且实证结果具有稳健性。全球化对收入的总体影响中,约有一半的效应是来自于纯粹的货物贸易的影响,另一半是来自于全球化的其他因素,如自然人的流动、FDI等。寻找贸易开放的时变的工具变量是该领域未来研究的一个方向。
[Abstract]:The relationship between trade openness and economic growth has been divided among economists, especially in the comments of Rodriguez and Rodrik (2000). In the past ten years, the enrichment of data, the improvement of data quality, the discovery of new tool variables and the application of new econometrics make this field one of the hot fields in international economics. This paper first introduces the endogenous performance of trade openness, and then introduces the endogenous methods of controlling trade openness in these fields in recent years from four parts: instrumental variable method, double difference method, pairing method and other identification methods. Focus on the construction of new tool variables. The results of these methods show that trade has a significant positive effect on per capita income and the empirical results are robust. About half of the effects of globalization on income come from pure trade in goods, while the other half comes from other factors of globalization, such as FDI from the movement of natural persons. Looking for time-varying tool variables of open trade is one of the directions of future research in this field.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家软科学项目“国家创新体系中政府的作用与影响绩效评价研究”(2009GX3K040) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(20101050102000055)的资助
【分类号】：F746;F061.2;F224

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