基于MRICES模型的气候融资模拟分析
发布时间：2018-07-23 16:42
【摘要】：气候融资是促进发展中国家获得减排资金的重要途径之一。基于发达国家成立专项资金用于国际气候融资且发展中国家将其所获得的转移资金完全用于碳减排的经济机制下,在MRICES(Multi-regional integrated model of climate and economy with GDP spillovers,GDP溢出作用下的多区域气候经济综合模型)模型的基础上,扩展了模拟国际气候融资的模块。实验分析了气候融资在全球减排中的气候保护效益和对全球各国产生的经济效益。研究发现,持续的气候融资能有效抑制全球升温,但《坎昆协议》中提出的资金额度仅能使2100年全球升温比无资金转移时降低0.01℃,全球气候保护需要制定更长期的转移计划;气候融资能使发展中国家的经济受益,而发达国家虽然在转移初期会遭受轻微的GDP损失,但从长期看资金转移将促进发达国家的经济增长,最终出现资金转移输出方和输入方双赢的局面;同时,国际气候资金适量转移至中国有助于实现资金的优化高效使用,中国在全球减排中的贡献不容小觑。气候融资是一项气候保护有效、经济效益显著的减排机制。
[Abstract]:Climate finance is one of the important ways to promote the access of developing countries to emission reduction financing. Based on the economic mechanisms in which developed countries have established special funds for international climate finance and developing countries have devoted the funds they receive to carbon emissions reduction, Based on the model of MRICES (Multi-regional integrated model of climate and economy with GDP spilloversus GDP-spillover model), this paper extends the model of simulating international climate finance. The climate protection benefits of climate finance in the global emission reduction and the economic benefits to the countries around the world are analyzed experimentally. It is found that sustained climate finance can effectively suppress global warming, but the amount of funding proposed in Cancun Agreement can only reduce global warming by 0.01 鈩，
本文编号：2140011
[Abstract]:Climate finance is one of the important ways to promote the access of developing countries to emission reduction financing. Based on the economic mechanisms in which developed countries have established special funds for international climate finance and developing countries have devoted the funds they receive to carbon emissions reduction, Based on the model of MRICES (Multi-regional integrated model of climate and economy with GDP spilloversus GDP-spillover model), this paper extends the model of simulating international climate finance. The climate protection benefits of climate finance in the global emission reduction and the economic benefits to the countries around the world are analyzed experimentally. It is found that sustained climate finance can effectively suppress global warming, but the amount of funding proposed in Cancun Agreement can only reduce global warming by 0.01 鈩，
本文编号：2140011
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