多国经验的内生增长要素与二元经济结构转变研究
发布时间：2019-01-06 16:46
【摘要】：为了验证人力资本及生育率这类内生要素的变化对农业发展和二元结构转变的影响和作用,选取世界38个工业化中、后期国家1960年以来的面板数据作为样本,分析了这些国家的二元结构转变历程,对人力资本、生育率和农业发展之间的关系进行了实证检验和分析。分析结果显示,无论是中等收入国家还是高收入国家,人力资本的提升和生育率的下降都能促进二元经济结构的转化,是现代一元经济发展的关键因素。基于此,发展中国家二元经济结构转换过程中政策设计的主要着眼点,应是促进农村部门人力资本积累率提高和生育率下降,实现农业与非农部门之间生育率和人均人力资本水平的趋同。
[Abstract]:In order to verify the impact and effect of changes in endogenous factors such as human capital and fertility on agricultural development and dualistic structural transformation, panel data from 38 industrialized countries in the world since 1960 were selected as samples. This paper analyzes the process of dual structure transformation in these countries, and analyzes the relationship between human capital, fertility rate and agricultural development. The results show that the upgrading of human capital and the decline of fertility rate can promote the transformation of dual economic structure and are the key factors in the development of modern monolithic economy, both in middle-income countries and high-income countries. Based on this, the main focus of policy design in the process of transformation of dualistic economic structures in developing countries should be to promote higher rates of human capital accumulation and lower fertility in the rural sector. Realize the convergence of fertility rate and human capital per capita between agriculture and non-agricultural sectors.
【作者单位】： 陕西师范大学;西北工业大学;西安电子科技大学;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(10JJD790034) 陕西师范大学“211工程”第三期重点学科建设资助项目(884071)
【分类号】：F061.2
[Abstract]:In order to verify the impact and effect of changes in endogenous factors such as human capital and fertility on agricultural development and dualistic structural transformation, panel data from 38 industrialized countries in the world since 1960 were selected as samples. This paper analyzes the process of dual structure transformation in these countries, and analyzes the relationship between human capital, fertility rate and agricultural development. The results show that the upgrading of human capital and the decline of fertility rate can promote the transformation of dual economic structure and are the key factors in the development of modern monolithic economy, both in middle-income countries and high-income countries. Based on this, the main focus of policy design in the process of transformation of dualistic economic structures in developing countries should be to promote higher rates of human capital accumulation and lower fertility in the rural sector. Realize the convergence of fertility rate and human capital per capita between agriculture and non-agricultural sectors.
【作者单位】： 陕西师范大学;西北工业大学;西安电子科技大学;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(10JJD790034) 陕西师范大学“211工程”第三期重点学科建设资助项目(884071)
【分类号】：F061.2
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