快速路开辟公交专用道对小汽车通勤出行转移影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-29 22:48

本文关键词： 可持续发展通勤影响因素公交优先转移二项Logit模型　出处：《北京交通大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着城市化进程的加快,城市机动化程度的提高,城市交通拥堵问题越来越严峻,造成大量资源的浪费和环境污染,影响了城市健康稳定地发展。目前各国致力于研究可持续发展的城市交通,旨在不破坏环境的前提下达到环境保护和运输综合效益等的协调发展,使得交通的运载能力既能满足人们需求的同时,城市环境质量也能保持好。而优先发展公共交通,限制小汽车出行是目前各国发展可持续的城市交通普遍采用的方法。本文通过快速路开辟公交专用道这种公交优先政策,研究对小汽车通勤出行转移的影响。论文主要做了以下几方面的研究： (1)对公交专用道进行了介绍,总结了快速路开辟公交专用道的实施效果。 (2)本文界定了通勤的含义,总结了通勤出行的特征及其出行方式选择的影响因素； (3)针对京通快速路开辟公交专用道进行了多次问卷调查,获得了大量的一手数据,为后期的研究打下了基础； (4)进行了数据的筛选,整理和录入,在此基础上对有效数据进行了分析。通过对转移的与未转移的通勤人员的调查数据的比较,得出影响通勤人员转移的因素,并对不同情况下通勤人员转移的概率进行了分析； (5)按照不同的分类建立了四个二项Logit模型,并对模型进行了分析,得出小汽车通勤出行转移的主要因素。在最后,本文给出了引导通勤人员向公交转移的方法：提高公交服务水平,限制小汽车出行,“标本兼治,双管齐下”。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of urbanization and the improvement of the degree of urban motorization, the problem of urban traffic congestion is becoming more and more serious, resulting in a large number of waste of resources and environmental pollution. It has affected the healthy and stable development of the city. At present, all countries are committed to the study of sustainable development of urban transportation, with the aim of achieving the coordinated development of environmental protection and comprehensive benefits of transportation without damaging the environment. So that the transport capacity can not only meet the needs of people, but also maintain the quality of the urban environment, and give priority to the development of public transport. Restricting car travel is a common method to develop sustainable urban traffic in various countries. This paper studies the influence of the bus priority policy on the car commuting by opening the bus lane on the expressway. The thesis mainly studies the following aspects: This paper introduces the bus lane and summarizes the effect of opening the bus lane on the expressway. (2) this paper defines the meaning of commuting, summarizes the characteristics of commuting and the factors influencing the choice of commuting mode. 3) A number of questionnaires were carried out on the opening of bus lanes on the Beijing-Tongtong Expressway, and a large number of primary data were obtained, which laid the foundation for the later research. On the basis of this, the valid data are analyzed. The investigation data of transferred commuters and untransferred commuters are compared. The factors influencing commuter transfer are obtained, and the probability of commuter transfer under different circumstances is analyzed. (5) four binomial Logit models are established according to different classification, and the main factors of commuting travel transfer are obtained by analyzing the model. Finally, this paper gives the methods of guiding commuters to transfer to public transportation: improve the level of bus service, limit the travel of cars, "treat both causes and symptoms, both ways".
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F572

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