武广高铁对湖南生产性服务业发展影响研究

发布时间：2018-02-02 13:33

本文关键词： 武广高铁生产性服务业影响对策　出处：《湖南科技大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来，西方经济社会的发展经历与实践经验已充分说明，作为衡量一个国家或地区现代化发展水平的重要标志，生产性服务业的兴起与发展已是势不可挡。生产性服务业在生产要素跨地区流动，产业升级与技术进步方面起到了“推进器”的作用。湖南生产性服务业发展已取得一定成果，但由于地域、人才、科研水平等多重因素的限制，其发展进程较为缓慢，产业竞争力有待进一步提升。高速铁路作为现代文明与高新科技结合下的现代化交通工具，具有显著的技术与经济优势，其通达性强的突出特征能有效实现人才流、物资流、技术流、信息流等要素的合理配置，对生产性服务业的整体发展具有重要作用。武广高铁于2009年年底正式通车，作为连接湖南与内陆及沿海的重要“纽带”，其开通运营将改善湖南生产性服务业的发展环境，对其发展产生深远影响。因此，研究武广高铁对湖南生产性服务业发展的影响，利用武广高铁加快湖南生产性服务业发展是很有必要的。本文的研究内容包括以下几个部分：首先，本文通过对湖南生产性服务业进行全面分析，，概括出其整体及各行业发展现状，同时对行业发展特点及面临问题进行阐述。通过分析可知湖南生产性服务业的发展受到产业发展水平低、体制机制障碍、创新能力不足等因素的制约。其次，在交替推拉关系论、相互作用论、外部效果论等相关理论的指导下，结合湖南生产性服务业发展制约因素的分析，再综合长沙、株洲、衡阳、郴州等高铁站的调查结果，从理论角度探析武广高铁对湖南生产性服务业发展的影响。再次，从实证角度分析武广高铁对湖南生产性服务业的影响。实证分析由紧密联系的三部分构成。第一部分是在机理分析的基础上，运用多元线性回归模型对武广高铁背景下湖南生产性服务业影响因素进行分析；第二部分构建双对数模型，分析说明铁路客运量的变化对湖南生产性服务业发展的影响；第三部分运用灰色预测模型预测出2010、2011年“无”武广高铁情况下铁路客运量，代入双对数模型得出2010、2011年“无”武广高铁情况下湖南生产性服务业发展状况，将其与“有”武广高铁情况下的实际状况进行对比，分析出武广高铁对湖南生产性服务业发展所做的贡献。最后，依据实证分析得出的结论，立足湖南省情，把握武广高铁快速发展的机遇，对更好地利用武广高铁推动湖南生产性服务业发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the western economic and social development experience and practical experience has been fully explained, as an important indicator of a country or region's modernization development level. The rise and development of producer services is unstoppable. Industrial upgrading and technological progress have played the role of "propeller". Hunan producer service industry has achieved certain results, but due to the region, talent, scientific research level and other factors constraints. Its development process is relatively slow, the industrial competitiveness needs to be further improved. As a modern vehicle with modern civilization and high technology, high-speed railway has obvious technical and economic advantages, and its outstanding characteristics of strong accessibility can effectively realize the flow of talent, material and technology. The rational allocation of information flow plays an important role in the overall development of producer services. Wuguang high-speed railway was formally opened to traffic at the end of 2009 as an important "link" between Hunan and inland and coastal areas. Its opening and operation will improve the development environment of Hunan producer services, and have a far-reaching impact on its development. Therefore, this paper studies the impact of Wuguang high-speed rail on the development of Hunan producer services. It is necessary to speed up the development of Hunan producer service industry by using high-speed railway. The research content of this paper includes the following parts: First of all, through the comprehensive analysis of Hunan producer services, this paper summarizes the overall development of the industry and its current situation. Through the analysis, we can know that the development of Hunan producer service industry is restricted by such factors as low level of industrial development, obstacles of system and mechanism, insufficient ability of innovation and so on. Secondly, under the guidance of alternative push-pull relationship theory, interaction theory, external effect theory and other related theories, combined with Hunan producer services development constraints analysis, and then integrated Changsha, Zhuzhou, Hengyang. The investigation results of Chenzhou and other high-speed railway stations analyze the influence of Wuguang high-speed railway on the development of Hunan producer service industry from the theoretical point of view. Thirdly, from the perspective of empirical analysis of the impact of Wu-Guang high-speed rail on Hunan producer services. The empirical analysis consists of three parts closely linked. The first part is based on the mechanism analysis. Using multiple linear regression model to analyze the influencing factors of Hunan producer service industry under the background of Wu-Guang high-speed railway. In the second part, a double logarithmic model is built to analyze the influence of railway passenger volume on the development of Hunan producer service industry. The third part uses the grey forecast model to predict the passenger volume of the railway in 2010 and 2011 under the condition of "no" Wu-Guang high-speed railway, and substitute the double logarithmic model to get the 2010. In 2011, the development of producer services in Hunan was compared with the actual situation under the condition of "no" Wu-Guang high-speed railway. This paper analyzes the contribution of Wuguang high-speed railway to the development of Hunan producer service industry. Finally, according to the conclusion of the empirical analysis, based on the situation of Hunan Province, seize the opportunity of rapid development of Wu-Guangzhou high-speed rail, and put forward policy recommendations for better use of Wu-Guangzhou high-speed rail to promote the development of Hunan producer services.
【学位授予单位】：湖南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F532;F719

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