高速铁路对中国城市经济的外部影响

发布时间：2018-02-28 23:36

本文关键词： 高速铁路城市经济外部影响新经济地理学　出处：《广东社会科学》2014年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：高速铁路能够"拉近"城市之间的空间距离,对站点城市和沿线区域的社会经济发展产生积极的外部影响。针对京津城际铁路的分析发现,运营前后城市的主要社会经济指标均发生了显著变化;实地问卷调研表明,该线路的乘客在高速铁路运营将助推城市发展和住房价值提升等方面具有正面预期。在此基础上,借鉴城市经济学和新经济地理学分析的思路和方法,基于85个地级及以上城市的特征价格模型分析结果显示:在控制其他因素的情况下,高速铁路运营能够增强城市"市场潜力"并显著提升城市价值,这种效果在二、三线城市表现得更为明显。本文为高速铁路投资效益的评价提供分析框架和定量支持,同时也从如何实现更高社会效益的角度,对高速铁路项目的选址决策提出了若干建议。
[Abstract]:High-speed railway can "narrow" the spatial distance between cities, and have a positive external impact on the social and economic development of the station cities and the areas along the route. The analysis of the Beijing-Tianjin inter-city railway shows that, Significant changes have taken place in the main social and economic indicators of the city before and after operation. Field questionnaire survey shows that the passengers of this line have positive expectations in terms of how high-speed railway operation will boost urban development and the value of housing. Referring to the ideas and methods of urban economics and neo-economic geography analysis, and based on the characteristic price model of 85 cities at or above the prefectural level, the results show that: under the condition of controlling other factors, The operation of high-speed railway can enhance the "market potential" of the city and enhance the value of the city, which is more obvious in the second and third tier cities. This paper provides an analytical framework and quantitative support for the evaluation of the investment benefit of the high-speed railway. At the same time, from the point of view of how to realize higher social benefit, some suggestions are put forward for the location decision of high speed railway project.
【作者单位】：清华大学恒隆房地产研究中心;清华大学建设管理系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金优秀青年基金项目“城市增长机制与管理”(项目号71322307)、面上项目(项目号70973065、71273154) 国家社会科学基金“基于资源可达性分析的县域城镇化模式研究”(项目号14AJY012) 教育部新世纪人才支持计划(项目号NCET-12-0313) 清华大学自主科研计划的资助
【分类号】：F532;F299.2

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