中原经济区新形势下河南省交通运输人才需求预测研究

发布时间：2018-03-07 21:07

本文选题：中原经济区　切入点：交通运输　出处：《长安大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着中原经济区建设步伐的加快,河南省道路交通步入良性发展阶段,为河南省经济发展奠定了坚实的基础。《国务院关于支持河南省加快建设中原经济区的指导意见》明确提出了中原经济区的重要战略定位：“全国区域协调发展的战略支点和重要的现代综合交通枢纽”。河南的高速公路，亘贯中原，纵横交错，5000多公里通车里程全国第一；覆盖全省，四通八达，近25万公里公路通车总里程全国第二；安全便利，遍布乡野，，农村公路22万公里通车里程全国领先。当前，中原经济区的交通运输行业正处在大建设、大发展的关键时期，大力实施“人才强交”战略，培养人才、集聚人才、造就人才，满足交通运输事业发展对各类人才的需要，是抓住重要战略机遇期，促进交通运输事业科学发展的必然要求，是从容应对日趋激烈的国际竞争，发展现代交通运输业的必然要求，是当前和今后一个时期交通运输人才工作的紧迫任务。河南省构建现代化的综合交通运输体系和“数字交通”离不开交通运输人才的支持，本论文主要研究中原经济区新形势下河南省交通运输人才预测，通过灰色系统理论的关联度分析，对河南省的交通运输人才发展现状进行分析，得出影响交通运输人才发展的相关因素，建立了多元线性回归预测模型、基于灰色理论的交通人才需求预测模型和最优加权组合交通人才需求预测模型，对交通运输未来五年的交通人才需求量进行科学的预测，为相关部门制定人才发展规划提供了科学依据，并根据预测结果对交通人才发展提出了建设性的意见。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the construction of the Central Plains Economic Zone, road traffic in Henan Province has entered a benign stage of development. It has laid a solid foundation for the economic development of Henan Province. "the State Council's guiding opinion on supporting Henan Province in speeding up the Construction of the Central Plains Economic Zone" clearly puts forward the important strategic orientation of the Central Plains Economic Zone: "the war of coordinated regional development throughout the country" A few fulcrum points and an important modern integrated transportation hub ". Henan Expressway, Across the Central Plains, the mileage of more than 5, 000 kilometers crisscrossed across the country is the first in the country; it covers the whole province, reaching in all directions, and the total mileage of nearly 250,000 kilometers of highways is the second in the country. At present, the transportation industry in the Central Plains Economic Zone is in a critical period of great construction and development. We should vigorously implement the strategy of "strengthening the exchange of talents," train and gather talents, and bring up talents. To meet the needs of all kinds of talents for the development of transportation industry is the inevitable requirement for seizing the important strategic opportunity period and promoting the scientific development of the transportation industry. It is also a leisurely response to the increasingly fierce international competition. It is an urgent task to develop modern transportation industry. The construction of modern comprehensive transportation system and "digital transportation" in Henan Province can not be separated from the support of transportation talents. This paper mainly studies the prediction of transportation talents in Henan Province under the new situation of Central Plains Economic Zone. Through the correlation analysis of grey system theory, this paper analyzes the present situation of transportation talents development in Henan Province, obtains the relevant factors that affect the development of transportation talents, and establishes a multivariate linear regression prediction model. Based on the grey theory, the traffic talent demand forecasting model and the optimal weighted combination traffic talent demand forecasting model are used to forecast the traffic talent demand in the next five years. It provides a scientific basis for the relevant departments to formulate the talent development plan, and puts forward constructive suggestions for the development of transportation talents according to the forecast results.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F542.8;F249.27;F224

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