城市群综合交通承载力研究——以京津冀为例

发布时间：2018-03-23 09:50

本文选题：城市群　切入点：综合交通运输系统　出处：《生态经济》2016年04期

【摘要】：构建综合交通承载力评价模型,将铁路、公路、海港和空港等四种方式共同构成的综合交通体系的承载力纳入同一分析框架中,并对交通承载力进行了三方面的扩展:研究范围由城市扩展到区域,研究对象由单一要素扩展到复合系统,研究内容由现实扩展到潜在。以京津冀城市群为研究区域,对2004~2013年各种运输方式以及综合交通承载力的变化趋势进行实证分析,研究结果表明:第一,从不同运输方式来看:铁路发展迅速,随着城市群经济社会发展,承载能力趋于紧张;城市群交通需求过分依赖公路运输,不利于交通运输可持续发展;海港间同质化竞争严重,已成为制约港口群整体承载能力提高的瓶颈;空港发展由不平衡向平衡转变,协同效应逐步显现。第二,从城市群综合交通来看:综合交通基础设施承载力持续增强,但仍然存在薄弱环节;综合交通运输能力的提高对城市群经济社会发展的具有缓慢而显著的支撑和引导作用;潜在运输需求日趋强劲,对综合交通运输系统的承载能力压力逐步增大。在此基础上,从加快城际铁路的发展和建设、强化港口间的合作、打造国际航空枢纽以及适度超前建设交通基础设施等四方面对京津冀城市群综合交通发展提出相关建议。
[Abstract]:The comprehensive traffic carrying capacity evaluation model is constructed, and the bearing capacity of the integrated transportation system composed of railway, highway, seaport and air port is brought into the same analytical framework. The research scope is extended from the city to the region, the research object from the single element to the composite system, the research content from the reality to the potential, taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration as the research area. From 2004 to 2013, the change trend of various modes of transport and comprehensive traffic carrying capacity is analyzed. The results show that: first, from different modes of transport: railway develops rapidly, with the economic and social development of urban agglomeration. Carrying capacity tends to be tense; the traffic demand of urban agglomeration depends too much on road transportation, which is not conducive to the sustainable development of transportation; the homogeneous competition among seaports is serious, which has become the bottleneck restricting the improvement of the overall carrying capacity of the port group. The development of the airport has changed from imbalance to balance, and the synergistic effect has gradually appeared. Second, from the view of comprehensive traffic of urban agglomeration, the bearing capacity of integrated transport infrastructure is continuously strengthened, but there are still weak links; The improvement of comprehensive transportation capacity has a slow and significant supporting and guiding effect on the economic and social development of urban agglomeration, and the potential transport demand is becoming stronger and the pressure on the carrying capacity of integrated transportation system is gradually increasing. From the four aspects of speeding up the development and construction of inter-city railway, strengthening the cooperation between ports, building international aviation hub and constructing traffic infrastructure moderately, some suggestions are put forward for the comprehensive traffic development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration.
【作者单位】：首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院;
【基金】：北京市社会科学基金重大项目“京津冀区域协同发展研究——全面推进中的战略重点”(14ZDA23) 首都经济贸易大学研究生产学研基地项目“首都圈水资源与生态安全研究” 北京市教委科研基地建设—科技创新平台—都市圈研究中心(PXM2015_014205_000126)
【分类号】：F572.88

【相似文献】