碳排放约束下中国交通运输业全要素生产率研究

发布时间：2018-03-28 23:10

本文选题：碳排放　切入点：交通运输业　出处：《重庆工商大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：当前能源消耗日益严重,环境污染亟待解决的情况下,作为能源消耗巨大及二氧化碳排放增速最快的产业之一,交通运输业首当其冲。“十三五”规划发展纲要明确提到,要建立低碳绿色、清洁高效的新型交通运输业体系,故在此背景下研究我国交通运输业的TFP具有深远的意义。本文的研究内容主要有:(1)通过DEA-Malmquist方法测算了2000-2013年碳排放约束下我国交通运输业全要素生产率(TFP),进行了年际和区际的比较分析,同时将已测得全要生产率与未考虑碳排放约束的TFP进行了对比研究。(2)选取对外开放水平、工业化程度、制度因素、政府支持程度、交通运输业的基础设施状况、能源结构等六大指标作为解释变量来分析对碳排放约束下我国交通运输业的影响程度。(3)运用了σ收敛、绝对β收敛、条件β收敛性以及俱乐部收敛等经济收敛方法检验了碳排放约束下我国交通运输业的趋同性。本文的研究结论主要有:(1)碳排放约束下全国交通运输业的TFP呈现阶段特征,可分为4个阶段;技术进步是提升我国交通运输业全要素的主要动因,技术效率指数则在一定程度上抑制了我国交通运输业TFP的提高;碳排放约束下我国各地区交通运输业的TFP差异明显,主要原因在于技术进步和技术效率指数差异较大;若忽视能源投入及二氧化碳这一非期望产出,将虚高TFP,使结果失真。(2)对外开放水平、工业化进程、政府支持程度、交通运输业的基础设施状况和能源结构对全国交通运输业的TFP,具有正向作用,制度因素则抑制了碳排放约束下全国交通运输业TFP的提高,但以上指标对各地区的影响程度差异较大。(3)碳排放约束下我国交通运输业均存在σ收敛、绝对β收敛、条件β收敛,但不存在俱乐部收敛。为了实现我国交通运输业的可持续发展,我国交通运输业要进行绿色转型,走低碳化、集约化的发展道路,要提高新型能源及可再生能源的使用效率,加强交通运输业的信息化建设,强化各区域的技术合作,建立各区域之间交流沟通的长效机制,加强技术创新,提高对外开放水平,优化能源结构,建立现代化的再生资源的废弃物回收利用体系,实现交通运输业经济的循环发展。
[Abstract]:At present, energy consumption is becoming increasingly serious and environmental pollution needs to be solved urgently. As one of the industries with huge energy consumption and the fastest increase in carbon dioxide emissions, transportation and transportation bear the brunt. The 13th Five-Year Plan and Development Program explicitly mentioned that. To establish a low-carbon green, clean and efficient new transportation system, Therefore, it is of great significance to study the TFP of China's transportation industry under this background. The main research contents of this paper are as follows: (1) the total factor productivity (TFP) of China's transportation industry under carbon emission constraints from 2000 to 2013 is calculated by using the DEA-Malmquist method, and the total factor productivity (TFP) of China's transportation industry is calculated and carried out annually. Comparative analysis between regions and regions, At the same time, a comparative study was made between the total productivity measured and TFP, which did not take into account carbon emission constraints.) the level of opening to the outside world, the degree of industrialization, the factors of system, the degree of government support, the state of infrastructure of transportation and transportation were selected. Six indexes, such as energy structure, are used as explanatory variables to analyze the degree of influence on China's transportation and transportation industry under carbon emission constraints. (3) 蟽 convergence and absolute 尾 convergence are used. Conditional 尾 convergence, club convergence and other economic convergence methods test the convergence of transportation industry in China under carbon emission constraints. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the phase characteristics of TFP in national transportation industry under carbon emission constraint. It can be divided into four stages: technological progress is the main motivation to promote the whole essential factors of China's transportation industry, while the technical efficiency index to some extent inhibits the improvement of the TFP of China's transportation industry; Under the carbon emission constraint, the difference of TFP between different regions of China is obvious, which is mainly due to the great difference of technological progress and technical efficiency index, if the energy input and the non-expected output of carbon dioxide are ignored, The level of opening to the outside world, the process of industrialization, the degree of government support, the state of transportation infrastructure and the energy structure have positive effects on the TFPs of the national transportation industry. The institutional factors restrain the increase of TFP in the national transportation and transportation industry under the carbon emission constraint, but the influence degree of the above indexes on each region is quite different.) under the carbon emission constraint, there is 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence and conditional 尾 convergence in China's transportation industry. But there is no club convergence. In order to realize the sustainable development of China's transportation industry, China's transportation industry should carry out green transformation, low carbonization, intensive development, and improve the efficiency of new and renewable energy use. To strengthen the information construction of the transportation industry, strengthen the technical cooperation among the regions, establish a long-term mechanism for communication and communication between the regions, strengthen technological innovation, raise the level of opening up, and optimize the energy structure, To establish a modern recycling system of renewable resources and realize the circular development of transportation economy.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X196;F224;F512

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