民航飞机交易价值测度研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 10:05

本文选题：飞机基础价值 + 飞机交易价值　；参考：《中国民航大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：飞机是航空运输的重要生产工具。随着航空运输业的不断发展,飞机引进、运营、退出、租赁、抵押登记、保险等航空运输相关活动日渐频繁,飞机交易价值测度的需求日益增多,迫切需要客观公正的飞机交易价值测度结果作为参考支撑。为科学、客观、准确地测度飞机交易价值,本文首先从飞机基础价值、市场交易状态以及外部环境三个方面,对飞机交易价值的影响因素进行了系统全面地分析,并在此基础上绘制出飞机交易价值测度系统的因果关系图;其次运用德尔菲法对飞机交易价值影响因素进行筛选,并构建了飞机交易价值测度指标体系;再对资产评估中重置成本法、收益法和市场法各自的特点、应用于飞机基础价值评估的适用性及优缺点进行分析比较,采用重置成本法对八架B737-800机型的飞机基础价值进行评估;然后构建了基于系统动力学的飞机交易价值测度模型,测度全寿命期内飞机交易价值综合影响系数,进而测度飞机交易价值TV;最后根据国内航空公司近几年B737-800交易数据,验证模型的可行性及可信性,并预测出全寿命期内任意时间节点B737-800的飞机交易价值。
[Abstract]:Aircraft is an important production tool for air transportation. With the continuous development of air transport industry, aircraft import, operation, exit, leasing, mortgage registration, insurance and other air transport related activities become more and more frequent, and the demand for measuring the value of aircraft transactions is increasing day by day. There is an urgent need for objective and fair measurement results of aircraft transaction value as a reference support. In order to measure the value of aircraft transaction scientifically, objectively and accurately, this paper firstly analyzes the influencing factors of aircraft transaction value systematically and comprehensively from three aspects: the basic value of aircraft, the state of market trading and the external environment. On the basis of this, the causality diagram of aircraft transaction value measurement system is drawn. Secondly, the influence factors of aircraft transaction value are screened by Delphi method, and the index system of aircraft transaction value measurement is constructed. Then, the characteristics of replacement cost method, income method and market method in asset evaluation are analyzed and compared, and the applicability, advantages and disadvantages of the application in aircraft basic value assessment are analyzed and compared. The replacement cost method is used to evaluate the basic value of eight B737-800 aircraft models. Then, a model of aircraft transaction value measurement based on system dynamics is constructed to measure the comprehensive influence coefficient of aircraft transaction value over the lifetime, and then to measure the value of aircraft transaction TV.The last, according to the B737-800 transaction data of domestic airlines in recent years, The feasibility and credibility of the model are verified, and the aircraft transaction value of any time node B737-800 in the lifetime is predicted.
【学位授予单位】：中国民航大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F224;F562

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