重庆公路物流园区的适站量研究

发布时间：2018-05-06 21:32

本文选题：重庆公路物流园区 + 货运量预测　；参考：《重庆交通大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：目前，物流产业在我国正蓬勃发展，建设物流园区是整个社会物流产业整体规划的重要部分，物流园区发展的好与坏直接影响着一个区域经济发展质量。物流园区是我国现代物流体系中重要的物流组织管理节点，，也是发展我国现代物流业的突破口和基点，其建设对一个城市经济发展、交通以及流通渠道建设等方面都有着十分重要的积极意义。论文首先介绍了物流园区的概念、分类及功能及目前物流园区发展理论研究的成果；其次介绍国内外物流园区发展的成熟经验，主要介绍日本、德国的物流园区发展运营的经验，再根据第三次全国物流园区（基地）的调查报告[1]，说明我国在物流园区建设运营方面存在的问题；第三论文运用指数平滑预测方法、多元回归预测方法、灰色预测方法及三种方法的组合预测方法在理论方面和实际运用对城市公路货运总量进行预测；第四确定进驻公路物流园区的主要物流品种进而确定物流园区适站量作适当的讨论和研究。预测一个城市总体货运量的规模是各个物流园区规划的不可缺少的前提条件，也是确定各个物流园区适站量多少的主要依据；适站量的研究主要是确定归属于各物流园区的可能适站量规模及主要物流品种，这是物流园区经营者对园区发展战略规划及功能布局的基本前提。本论文以重庆公路物流园区为背景，结合该市的公路货运量和重庆市物流项目发展规划的实际情况，通过定性分析与定量分析相结合，预测出公路物流园区2012年、2015年和2020年的货运量，根据要求进驻公路物流园区的主要物流品种，确定了重庆公路物流园区的适站量，最后结合园区的实际，提出自己的发展建议。
[Abstract]:At present, the logistics industry is booming in our country. The construction of logistics park is an important part of the overall planning of the whole social logistics industry. The development of logistics park has a direct impact on the quality of regional economic development. Logistics park is an important node of logistics organization and management in modern logistics system of our country, and it is also the breakthrough point and basic point of developing modern logistics industry in our country. Traffic and circulation channel construction have very important positive significance. Firstly, the paper introduces the concept, classification and function of the logistics park and the current research results of the logistics park development theory; secondly, it introduces the mature experience of the logistics park development at home and abroad, mainly introduces Japan, The experience of logistics park development and operation in Germany, and then according to the third national logistics park (base) investigation report [1], explain the existing problems in logistics park construction and operation in China. Multiple regression forecasting method, grey forecasting method and combination forecasting method of three methods are used to forecast the total amount of urban highway freight in theory and practice. Fourth, determine the main types of logistics in the road logistics park, and then determine the appropriate station capacity of the logistics park for appropriate discussion and research. Forecasting the scale of a city's total freight volume is an indispensable prerequisite for the planning of each logistics park, and it is also the main basis for determining the appropriate station quantity of each logistics park. The research of the suitable station quantity is mainly to determine the possible suitable quantity scale and the main logistics varieties that belong to each logistics park, which is the basic premise of the logistics park operators' strategic planning and function layout for the development of the park. This paper takes Chongqing Highway Logistics Park as the background, combined with the actual situation of the city's highway freight volume and Chongqing logistics project development planning, through qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. The volume of freight transportation of highway logistics park in 2012, 2015 and 2020 is forecasted. According to the main kinds of logistics entering road logistics park, the suitable station quantity of Chongqing highway logistics park is determined. Finally, combining with the reality of the park, the author puts forward his own suggestions for development.
【学位授予单位】：重庆交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F542.8;F259.27

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