华东空管NGN建设项目中的风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-05-21 05:25

本文选题：风险管理 + NGN　；参考：《上海交通大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着信息时代的不断发展，人们对通信的要求逐步向语音、数据、多媒体融合业务发展。在业务需求的推动下，华东空管正面临着虹桥机场通信网向下一代网络升级的契机。但是，面对网络建设中的种种不确定因素，如何进行有效风险管理，减少或避免风险的不利因素，保证项目的顺利实施，是华东空管项目管理者必须考虑的问题。本文以项目风险管理的理论框架为指导，结合华东空管NGN建设项目实例，采用理论与实际相结合的方法，就项目的风险识别、风险分析、风险应对及风险监控等风险管理技术进行较为深入的研究。首先运用WBS-RBS方法，对项目不同阶段存在的风险事件进行全面识别。其次提出一种基于模糊层次分析法的风险分析方法，通过建立风险层次结构、构建风险判断矩阵、计算风险因素排序权重等步骤对项目风险进行合理的量化和分析。然后运用风险应对策略，针对不同风险制定相应的风险应对措施。最后通过建立风险预警机制实现对项目全面、动态的风险监控。本文旨在通过对华东空管NGN建设项目的风险管理进行研究，有效减少或避免项目风险带来的不利影响，，保证项目目标的顺利实现。研究成果对类似项目的风险管理实践具有一定的借鉴意义和参考价值。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the information age, people's requirements for communication gradually develop to voice, data, multimedia integration services. Driven by business demand, East China ATC is facing the opportunity of upgrading Hongqiao Airport Communication Network to the next generation network. However, in the face of all kinds of uncertain factors in the network construction, how to carry out effective risk management, reduce or avoid the adverse factors of risk, and ensure the smooth implementation of the project are the problems that must be considered by the project manager of air traffic control in East China. Guided by the theoretical framework of project risk management, combined with the example of East China Air Traffic Control (NGN) construction project, this paper adopts the method of combining theory with practice to identify and analyze the risk of the project. Risk management techniques such as risk response and risk monitoring are deeply studied. Firstly, the WBS-RBS method is used to identify the risk events in different stages of the project. Secondly, a risk analysis method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is proposed. By establishing risk hierarchy structure, constructing risk judgment matrix and calculating ranking weight of risk factors, the project risk can be reasonably quantified and analyzed. Then use the risk coping strategy to formulate the corresponding risk response measures for different risks. Finally, the comprehensive and dynamic risk monitoring of the project is realized by establishing the risk early warning mechanism. The purpose of this paper is to study the risk management of East China Air Traffic Control (NGN) construction project, to effectively reduce or avoid the adverse impact of project risk, and to ensure the smooth realization of project objectives. The research results have certain reference significance and reference value to the risk management practice of similar projects.
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F562

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