经济不景气环境下大型集装箱船舶经济性分析与对策研究

发布时间：2018-07-13 18:44

【摘要】：随着国际贸易的不断增长，集装箱运输的需求也随之增大。为了抢占集装箱运输市场的份额，维护各自的市场地位，各大船公司纷纷订造了大型集装箱船舶。同时，在规模经济效益的驱动下，集装箱船舶大型化也越来越受到航运界的关注。但是集装箱船舶大型化的规模经济效益是在船舶满载的前提下才能充分体现出来的，如果在经济不景气的情况下，集装箱船舶规模经济的优势就不一定能体现出来。本文主要介绍了集装箱船舶大型化进程，详细研究并分析了集装箱船舶大型化的影响因素。本文的核心内容是要建立经济不景气与大型集装箱船舶经济性之间的关系。为了达到这个目的，，本文引入了中国采购经理人指数（PMI），通过PMI指数与大型集装箱船舶载箱量的数据，运用线性回归的方法建立经济不景气环境下大型集装箱船舶的经济性模型，并用实例加以论证。最后，作者结合自己单位的实际情况，对经济不景气环境下拥有大型集装箱船舶的航运公司提出一些建议和应对措施。
[Abstract]:With the continuous growth of international trade, the demand for container transportation also increases. In order to seize the market share of container transportation and maintain their respective market position, the major shipping companies have ordered large container ships. At the same time, driven by economies of scale, container ships have attracted more and more attention from the shipping industry. However, the economies of scale of container ships are fully reflected on the premise of full load. If the economy is in recession, the advantages of economies of scale of container ships may not be reflected. This paper mainly introduces the process of container ship size, and analyzes the influence factors of container ship size in detail. The core content of this paper is to establish the relationship between economic depression and the economy of large container ships. In order to achieve this goal, this paper introduces the purchasing managers' index (PMI) of China. Through the data of PMI index and the carrying capacity of large container ships, the economic model of large container ships under the economic depression is established by linear regression method. An example is given to prove it. Finally, the author puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures to the shipping companies with large container ships in the economic depression environment combined with the actual situation of their own units.
【学位授予单位】：上海交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F551

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