江西TD公司JL高速公路项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2019-03-15 21:48

【摘要】：随着经济的增长和现代化物流的快速发展,高速公路在联系国家各地区间的重要作用得到显现。对于江西省来说,高速公路对其实现在中部的崛起有着举足轻重的作用,高速公路加快了江西对外开放的步伐,为江西的发展提供了诸多便利条件,使江西与长三角、珠三角等发达地区的联系更加紧密。 TD公司是江西省多个高速公路项目的业主单位,主要承建省内外重要基础设施的建设。JL高速公路项目是TD公司承建的项目之一,由于高速公路项目具有规模大、战线长、周期长,生产单一性、复杂性等特点,因而在项目的融资、建设与运营中具有较多的不确定性,如何对项目中的不确定因素进行有效控制是TD公司需要加强管理的地方。本文通过对TD公司JL高速公路项目的概况进行分析,运用定性和定量的分析技术(德尔菲法、专家法打分法、层次分析法)对该项目进行风险识别、风险评价和风险分析,并在此基础上提出项目风险的应对措施,以期找出项目风险的根源、规避方法和手段,为江西TD公司加强高速公路项目风险管理提供思路。本文的主要内容是：第一章,绪论。介绍选题背景及意义,通过阅读国内外研究文献,提出本文的研究方向,并阐述本文的研究内容、方法；第二章,相关理论概述。介绍了风险及风险管理的概念,总结了风险管理的主要内容,包括风险识别、风险评价和风险应对；第三章,江西TD公司JL高速公路项目概况。本章对江西TD公司JL高速公路项目的投资、收入及成本进行了预测,并对项目的经济性进行了评价；第四章,江西TD公司高速公路项目风险分析。通过德尔菲法进行风险识别,并确定风险评价指标体系,运用层次分析法进行风险评价,并在此基础上提出风险应对措施；第五章,针对江西TD公司的现状,提出加强江西TD公司高速公路项目风险管理的建议；第六章,总结与展望。总结本文的研究成果,提出文章的进一步研究方向。
[Abstract]:With the growth of economy and the rapid development of modern logistics, the important role of expressway in connecting various regions of the country has been shown. For Jiangxi Province, the expressway plays an important role in the rise of the central part of Jiangxi Province. The expressway quickens the pace of Jiangxi's opening up to the outside world, provides many convenient conditions for Jiangxi's development, and makes Jiangxi and the Yangtze River Delta. The Pearl River Delta and other developed areas are more closely linked. TD Company is the owner of many highway projects in Jiangxi Province, mainly responsible for the construction of important infrastructure inside and outside the province. JL Expressway Project is one of the projects undertaken by TD Company, because the highway project has a large scale and a long front. Because of the characteristics of long cycle, single production and complexity, there are more uncertainties in the financing, construction and operation of the project. How to control the uncertain factors in the project effectively is the place where TD Company needs to strengthen its management. By analyzing the general situation of JL highway project of TD Company, this paper makes use of qualitative and quantitative analysis techniques (Delphi method, expert scoring method, analytic hierarchy process) to carry out risk identification, risk assessment and risk analysis of the project. On this basis, the countermeasures of project risk are put forward in order to find out the root of the project risk, to avoid the methods and means, and to provide ideas for Jiangxi TD Company to strengthen the project risk management of expressway projects. The main content of this paper is: chapter one, introduction. This paper introduces the background and significance of the topic, and through reading the domestic and foreign research literature, puts forward the research direction of this paper, and expounds the research contents and methods of this paper. Chapter two, the summary of related theories. This paper introduces the concept of risk and risk management, and summarizes the main contents of risk management, including risk identification, risk assessment and risk response. Chapter three, the overview of JL highway project of Jiangxi TD Company. In this chapter, the investment, income and cost of JL highway project of Jiangxi TD Company are forecasted, and the economy of the project is evaluated. The fourth chapter is the risk analysis of the expressway project of Jiangxi TD Company. Through Delphi method for risk identification, and determine the risk evaluation index system, using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) for risk assessment, and on the basis of this proposed risk response measures; The fifth chapter, aiming at the present situation of Jiangxi TD Company, puts forward some suggestions to strengthen the risk management of Jiangxi TD Company's expressway project, and the sixth chapter summarizes and looks forward to it. Summarize the research results of this paper, put forward the further research direction of the article.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F542

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