基于系统动力学的徐州物流园区财务评价

发布时间：2018-03-10 21:20

本文选题：系统动力学　切入点：物流园区　出处：《山西大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,物流作为“第三利润源”,越来越受到人们的关注。在全社会的生产发展过程中,物流是非常重要的环节。并且,在政府政策的支持与引导下,物流业得到迅猛发展。而一种新的物流业态——物流园区的出现,将物流业的发展推向新高潮。物流园区使物流基础设施的整体水平得以提高,使物流服务功能多元化,使物流资源得到有效整合,有利于物流园区所在地区区域经济的发展。物流园区一般地处城市与农村结合部,交通便利、占地面积较大、基础设施完善,是很多地区城市规划的一部分。其主要的功能区有几大块：出租、仓储、装卸搬运、物流金融、物流信息平台。对园区功能规划时首先需要考察所在地区市场情况,其次根据投资项目情况预测园区承载能力,最后对园区内部资源合理配置。除此之外,在园区功能规划与设计的整个过程中,还需要围绕园区运营能力考虑问题,最重要的是预测园区的经济收益状况,从而可对园区进行科学合理规划。本文以系统动力学方法理论和财务评价理论为指导,研究徐州物流园区的功能模块,对各模块的收入进行合理预测,根据国家价格体系和财税制度估计园区的成本费用,从而得出园区的利润子系统模型；对徐州物流园区的初始投资成本和每年园区的现金流量进行合理分析,可建立现金流量子系统,而这一系统可算出财务评价中盈利能力的相关指标,从而对物流园区投资项目的可行性进行合理分析。
[Abstract]:In recent years, as a "third profit source", logistics has attracted more and more people's attention. Logistics is a very important link in the process of production and development of the whole society. Moreover, with the support and guidance of government policy, The logistics industry has been developing rapidly. The appearance of a new logistics industry, the logistics park, will push the development of logistics industry to a new climax. The logistics park can improve the overall level of logistics infrastructure and make the logistics service function diversified. The effective integration of logistics resources is conducive to the development of regional economy in the area in which the logistics park is located. Logistics parks are generally located at the conjunctions of cities and rural areas, with convenient transportation, a large area of land, perfect infrastructure, and are part of the urban planning of many regions. The main functional areas of the parks are: leasing, warehousing, loading and unloading, Logistics finance, logistics information platform. When planning the function of the park, we first need to investigate the market situation in the region, secondly, we should forecast the carrying capacity of the park according to the investment project situation, and finally allocate the resources within the park reasonably. In addition, In the whole process of function planning and design of the park, it is also necessary to consider the problem around the operation ability of the park, and the most important thing is to predict the economic benefits of the park. This paper, guided by the theory of system dynamics and financial evaluation, studies the function module of Xuzhou logistics park, and forecasts the income of each module reasonably. According to the national price system and the fiscal and taxation system, the paper estimates the cost of the park, and then obtains the profit subsystem model of the park, analyzes the initial investment cost of Xuzhou logistics park and the cash flow of the park every year. The cash flow subsystem can be established, and this system can calculate the relative indexes of profitability in the financial evaluation, so that the feasibility of the investment project in the logistics park can be reasonably analyzed.
【学位授予单位】：山西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F253.7

【相似文献】