中国发电行业生命周期温室气体减排潜力及成本分析

发布时间：2018-06-12 17:07

本文选题：生命周期评价 + 温室气体减排潜力　；参考：《北京大学学报(自然科学版)》2013年05期

【摘要】：基于相关规划目标,分析2020年中国发电行业8类减排发电技术的生命周期温室气体减排潜力、减排成本和单位减排成本。结果表明:1)发电行业共能产生2099.0~2070.3 MtCO2e的减排量,其中水电和核电的减排潜力最大,两者占总潜力的62.90%~63.34%;2)发电行业总减排成本为3307.6亿元,其中水电的发电成本最低,为783.0亿元,生物质发电的成本最高,为1687.5亿元;3)发电行业的平均单位减排成本为157.6~159.8元/tCO2e,其中水电和核电的单位减排成本最低,分别为104.3~104.8元/tCO2e和13.2~13.3元/tCO2e,天然气发电的最高,为958.8~1598.0元/tCO2e。总体而言,水电和核电的单位减排成本较低且减排潜力大,未来应重点发展这两种发电技术。
[Abstract]:Based on the relevant planning goals, the paper analyzes the potential of greenhouse gas emission reduction in the life cycle, emission reduction cost and unit emission reduction cost of eight types of power generation technologies in China in 2020. The results show that the power generation industry can produce a total emission reduction of 2099.0n2070.3 MtCO2e, in which hydropower and nuclear power have the greatest emission reduction potential, accounting for 62.90 yuan and 63.34 yuan of the total potential.) the total emission reduction cost of the power generation industry is 330.76 billion yuan, of which the cost of hydropower generation is the lowest, 78.3 billion yuan. The cost of biomass power generation is the highest, which is 168.75 billion yuan.) the average unit emission reduction cost of power generation industry is 157.6n 159.8 yuan / t CO2e, among which the unit emission reduction cost of hydropower and nuclear power is the lowest, which is 104.3N 104.8 yuan / t CO _ 2e and 13.2N / t / t _ 2e / t CO _ 2e respectively, and the highest is natural gas power generation, which is 958.81098.0 yuan / t / t CO _ 2e. In general, the unit emission reduction cost of hydropower and nuclear power is low and the potential of emission reduction is great.
【作者单位】：北京大学环境科学与工程学院;深圳市人居环境委员会;北京大学深圳研究生院环境与能源学院城市人居环境科学与技术重点实验室;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(10YJC790344)资助
【分类号】：F205;F426.61;F406.72

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