墨菲定律在资金监管中的启示及应用

发布时间：2018-06-13 19:47

  本文选题：墨菲 + 定律　； 参考：《财会通讯》2013年11期

【摘要】：正一、墨菲定律基本观点在数理统计中,有一条重要的统计规律:假设某意外事件在一次实验(活动)中发生的概率为p(p0),则在n重独立实验(活动)中,该意外事件至少有一次发生的概率为pn=1-(1-p)n。由此可知,无论概率p多么小(即小概率事件),当实验次数n趋向于无穷时,pn会越来越趋于l,即成为必然事件。这一定律是工程师墨菲
[Abstract]:First, the basic viewpoint of Murphy's law in mathematical statistics, there is an important statistical rule: assuming that the probability of an accident in an experiment (activity) is p0, in the n-fold independent experiment (activity), The probability of at least one occurrence of the accident is pnn 1-1-1-pN. It can be seen that no matter how small the probability p is (that is, small probability event), when the experiment number n tends to infinity, the probability p n will become more and more l, that is to say, it will become an inevitable event. This is the law of engineer Murphy.
【作者单位】： 重庆理工大学财会研发中心;
【分类号】：F231.6
，

本文编号：2015203