贵州省旅游产业经济分析

发布时间：2018-01-07 06:32

本文关键词：贵州省旅游产业经济分析　出处：《贵州财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：旅游业具有“无烟产业”和“永远的朝阳产业”的美称，它已经和石油业、汽车业并列为世界三大产业。在我国带薪假期的普遍实行，旅游条件的改观，国际旅游业的深入开展，对国内旅游业的具有积极影响，也促使人民的旅游热情进一步焕发；经济的发展和国民收入的提高，消费结构的变化以及国民消费观念的转化，这也为我国旅游的发展奠定了一定的基础和条件。随着国内旅游业的不断发展，贵州省的旅游产业也逐渐步入正轨。贵州省区位条件优越、旅游资源丰富，典型的“喀斯特王国”，“十里不同风、五里不同俗、一山不同族”的独特风貌，四季宜游。改革开放以来，贵州旅游业经过了20世纪80年代的培育起步，90年代的快速发展，取得了明显成就。旅游产业体系基本形成，支柱产业的作用初步显现，市场发展态势良好，各项经济指标快速增长，产出水平大幅度提高，旅游产业对全省经济社会的促进作用日益增强。但是，与国内外发达地区相比，贵州旅游业仍存在较大的差距。面对新的发展形势，贵州旅游业迎来了世界和中国旅游业快速增长和国家实施西部大开发战略等良好的发展机遇，同时，也面临着来自国际、国内激烈的竞争和挑战。旅游业对于扩大就业领域、带动相关产业的发展具有巨大的作用。旅游经济在国民经济中的作用愈来愈大，不仅能够促进社会经济发展，在协调区域经济发展的同时，能够增加国民收入、扩大国际交流、增加国家外汇收入，而且对于扩大就业领域、提供就业机会、促进脱贫致富、带动相关产业的蓬勃发展更有着不容小觑的作用。因此，对旅游产业的分析与研究愈发显得重要。文章旨在总结出贵州省旅游产业发展的总体特征，根据现有数据进行定量分析，建立起一套旅游经济定量分析的核心数据体系，并可实时采用预测模型进行预测发展状况，这是对贵州省旅游产业经济分析的最终目的，也是为了迎合贵州旅游规模发展的需要。贵州旅游的发展需要数据支撑，各相关行业也需要了解我省旅游业对国民经济的影响，并且旅游业自身的发展也需要能真实地反映发展的质量和水平。本文借助旅游卫星账户先后运用了描述性统计方法、多元统计分析和灰色预测模型的方法，对贵州省旅游产业经济的整体发展水平进行了计量与分析，对影响贵州省旅游产业发展的因素进行了分析，总结出了贵州省旅游产业发展的总体特征，分别对贵州省旅游业增加值、旅游接待总人数、旅游总收入、入境旅游人数、旅游业增加值占GDP的比重在“十二五”期间2013、2014、2015三年的数值进行了灰色预测。本文的创新之处，首先，在于运用了新的旅游统计方法---旅游卫星账户，且将多种统计方法运用其中；其次，对贵州省整个旅游产业经济分析，，定量分析为主，定性分析为辅，定量分析与定性分析的紧密结合，也使得定性分析更具科学性和说服力，亦使文章的最后一部分的措施建议更具说服力和落地实施性。
[Abstract]:Tourism has the reputation of " non - smoking industry " and " eternal sun industry " , it already and petroleum industry , auto industry is listed as the three major industries of the world . In our country with paid leave , tourism conditions change , international tourism industry has a positive impact , and the people ' s tourism enthusiasm is further revitalized ; the development of economy and the improvement of national income , the change of consumption structure and the transformation of national consumption concept , this also lays a certain foundation and condition for the development of our country ' s tourism . With the development of domestic tourism industry , the tourism industry of Guizhou province is gradually becoming more and more important . Guizhou tourism industry has become more and more important in Guizhou province . Tourism economy plays an important role in expanding the field of employment and promoting the development of relevant industries . The role of tourism economy in the national economy is more and more important . It can not only promote the social and economic development , but also increase the national income , expand international exchange and increase the foreign exchange income of the country . Therefore , the analysis and research of tourism industry are more and more important . The paper aims to summarize the overall characteristics of tourism industry development in Guizhou province , establish a core data system for quantitative analysis of tourism economy according to the existing data , and forecast the development status in real time . With the aid of descriptive statistics method , multivariate statistical analysis and grey forecasting model , this paper analyzes the whole development level of tourism industry economy in Guizhou province , analyzes the factors that affect the development of tourism industry in Guizhou province , and sums up the overall characteristics of tourism industry development in Guizhou province . The innovation of this paper is to apply the new method of tourism statistics - - tourism satellite accounts , and apply a variety of statistical methods . Secondly , it makes qualitative analysis more scientific and persuasive , and makes qualitative analysis more scientific and persuasive , and also makes the final part of the article more persuasive and practical .

【学位授予单位】：贵州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F592.7;F224

【参考文献】