商务旅游城市发展的系统动力学仿真研究——以苏州工业园区为例

发布时间：2018-01-24 13:08

本文关键词： 商务旅游城市系统动力学苏州工业园区　出处：《地理科学进展》2013年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：商务旅游在世界范围内呈快速发展趋势,我国也将商务旅游列为专项旅游重点发展。商务旅游城市是推动商务旅游发展的重要基石,加快商务旅游城市建设与发展成为当前旅游研究热点。从商务旅游城市角度出发,运用系统动力学理论,选取人口、经济、商务旅游、环境以及科技等影响商务旅游城市发展因子,构建商务旅游城市发展系统动力模型,并对苏州工业园区2006-2020年商务旅游城市动态发展趋势进行模拟评价。结果表明:商务旅游城市发展动力系统紧密联系,各子系统在仿真期间保持增长的发展态势,但不同子系统增长幅度有所差异;各子系统内部因子的发展趋势和增长幅度具有相似性和差异性。
[Abstract]:Business tourism is developing rapidly all over the world. In our country, business tourism is also listed as the key development of special tourism. Business tourism city is an important foundation stone to promote the development of business tourism. Speeding up the construction and development of business tourism city has become a hot topic of tourism research. From the perspective of business tourism city, the paper selects population, economy and business tourism by using the theory of system dynamics. Environment and science and technology influence the development of business tourism city, and build the dynamic model of business tourism city development system. The dynamic development trend of business tourism city in Suzhou Industrial Park from 2006 to 2020 is simulated and evaluated. The results show that the dynamic system of business tourism city development is closely related. The growth trend of each subsystem is maintained during the simulation period, but the growth range of different subsystems is different. The development trend and growth range of internal factors of each subsystem are similar and different.
【作者单位】：苏州大学旅游系;苏州旅游与财经高等职业技术学校旅游管理系;苏州职业大学教育与人文科学系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41271134) 苏州职业大学人文社会科学基金项目(2010SZDCC13)
【分类号】：F592.7;F427;F224
【正文快照】： 1引言随着全球化和城市化进程加快,商务旅游快速发展,已成为全球旅游业发展的重要趋势。在此背景下,我国商务旅游市场规模增长迅速,每年增幅约为20%(罗秋菊等,2010)。国家从宏观、中观和微观3个不同层面大力支持商务旅游发展,国内商务旅游呈现出蓬勃发展的特点,为使商务旅游

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