基于气候指标评估气候变化对海南旅游的影响

发布时间：2018-04-10 18:45

本文选题：海南旅游 + 旅游气候资源评估　；参考：《自然资源学报》2015年05期

【摘要】：基于1965—2012年海南5市(县)气象站的逐日观测数据,构建一个新旅游气候指标,用以定量评估海南各地区的旅游气候资源,并考察其对气候变化的响应特征。结果表明:1近48 a来各市县理想旅游条件频率以波动下降趋势为主;全年三亚限制旅游的主导因子是风,其余地区是体感温度;除了五指山理想条件频率呈单峰型季节分布外,其余地区为双峰型。2冬季到初春气候变暖对三亚影响不大,但将明显改善其他地区旅游气候条件;除五指山外,气候变暖将使其他地区夏季、初秋旅游条件处于劣势。全年来看气候变暖对海口、三亚与昌江的旅游舒适度弊大于利。3三亚、琼海及昌江夏季、初秋若湿度加大,将有利于提高旅游舒适度,这与降水频次有关;冬季湿度加大也助于改善五指山的旅游条件。4所构建的定量指标可较好表征海南各地旅游气候资源状况,并可评估其对气候变化的响应特征。统计分析表明旅游气候条件与气候变化、地理环境密切相关。
[Abstract]:Based on the daily observation data of meteorological stations in five cities (counties) of Hainan from 1965 to 2012, a new tourist climate index was constructed to quantitatively evaluate the tourism climate resources in Hainan and to investigate the response characteristics to climate change.The results showed that the frequency of ideal tourist conditions in each city and county in recent 48 years was mainly fluctuating and decreasing, the dominant factor of restricting tourism in Sanya in the whole year was wind, and the other areas were somatosensory temperature, and the frequency of ideal conditions in Wuzhishan was a single-peak seasonal distribution.The other area is bimodal type .2 from winter to early spring, but it will obviously improve the tourism climate conditions in other areas, except Wuzhishan, the climate warming will make other areas summer, early autumn tourism conditions are at a disadvantage.In the summer of Qionghai and Changjiang, if the humidity increases in the early autumn, it will help to improve the tourism comfort, which is related to the frequency of precipitation.The increase of winter humidity can also help to improve the tourism conditions of Wuzhishan. 4. The quantitative index can better represent the tourism climate resources in Hainan and evaluate its response to climate change.Statistical analysis shows that tourism climate conditions are closely related to climate change and geographical environment.
【作者单位】：海南省气候中心;海南省南海气象防灾减灾重点实验室;海南省气象科学研究所;
【基金】：2013年中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF201310) 中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(2012045) 海南省自然基金项目(411099)
【分类号】：F592.7;P467

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