我国旅游业发展区域差异及对经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-22 13:14

本文选题：旅游业发展 + 经济增长　；参考：《安徽财经大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着旅游业在我国产业中的地位由国民经济新的增长点上升为战略性支柱产业,对于旅游业发展与经济增长之间关系的研究也逐渐增多。主流研究大多基于线性模型方法从国家或地区层面考察单一市场二者之间的长期均衡和因果关系,且结论存在较大分歧。然而,我国旅游业发展是由入境旅游和国内旅游两部分构成,单一市场的研究并不能完全反映出我国旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。另外,由于我国各地区在区位条件、旅游核心吸引物、经济发展水平、交通基础设施完善程度等方面存在较大差异,导致区域间旅游经济发展水平非均衡现象较为严重。不同旅游发展水平下二者之间的关系并非保持着相同的变化趋势,其差异对经济增长的影响可能存在着阶段性特征。本文基于以上几方面的考虑,分别建立线性模型和非线性模型探讨旅游业发展对经济增长的影响。为了更好的研究我国旅游业发展对经济增长的影响及可能存在的区域差异性。本文首先系统梳理了国内外对二者之间关系的研究;其次,构建一系列指标对我国旅游业发展现状、旅游发展的区域非均衡性以及与经济增长之间的关系进行了描述性分析;最后,基于1997-2013年我国省级面板数据,分别采用普通面板数据模型和非线性面板门限模型实证检验了旅游业发展对经济增长的影响及可能存在的区域差异性。本文对我国旅游业发展现状的分析表明:首先,我国旅游业发展规模总体上呈逐年扩大的趋势,但入境旅游业发展存在着下行趋势;其次,我国旅游业发展的区域非均衡性正逐渐缓解,但仍较为严重,且国内旅游发展区域差异占主要贡献;最后,分区域看,我国东部地区省际间旅游发展差异最大,西部次之,中部最小。更进一步,旅游发展对经济增长影响的实证研究结果表明:首先,入境、国内和整体旅游业发展均能显著促进我国经济增长,且入境旅游业发展对经济增长的带动作用高于国内旅游;其次,入境旅游能有效发挥缩小地区收入差距的作用;最后,入境、国内和整体旅游对经济增长的影响随旅游业发展水平的不同而具有异质性。入境旅游发展对经济增长的影响在入境旅游发展水平较低的地区影响不显著;而国内和整体旅游发展在各自旅游发展水平较高的地区影响较小甚至不显著。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the status of tourism industry in our country from a new growth point of the national economy to strategic pillar industry, the relationship between tourism development and economic growth has gradually increased. The mainstream researches are mostly based on the linear model method to investigate the long-term equilibrium and causality between the single market and the single market at the national or regional level, and the conclusions are quite different. However, the development of tourism in China is composed of two parts: inbound tourism and domestic tourism. The study of single market can not completely reflect the relationship between tourism development and economic growth in China. In addition, there are great differences in the regional conditions, tourism core attraction, economic development level, and the degree of improvement of transportation infrastructure in different regions of China, which leads to a serious imbalance in the level of tourism economic development among different regions. The relationship between them does not keep the same changing trend under different tourism development level, and the influence of the difference on economic growth may have the stage characteristic. Based on the above considerations, this paper establishes a linear model and a nonlinear model to discuss the impact of tourism development on economic growth. In order to better study the impact of tourism development on economic growth and possible regional differences. Firstly, this paper systematically combs the research on the relationship between them at home and abroad, secondly, constructs a series of indicators to analyze the present situation of tourism development, the regional disequilibrium of tourism development and the relationship between tourism development and economic growth. Finally, based on the provincial panel data from 1997 to 2013, the paper empirically tests the impact of tourism development on economic growth and the possible regional differences by using general panel data model and nonlinear panel threshold model. The present situation of tourism development in China is analyzed in this paper. Firstly, the scale of tourism development in China is increasing year by year, but there is a downward trend in the development of inbound tourism. The regional disequilibrium of tourism development in China is gradually easing, but it is still more serious, and the regional difference of domestic tourism development is the main contribution. Finally, the inter-provincial tourism development difference is the largest in the eastern region of China, followed by the western region. The middle part is the smallest. Furthermore, the empirical results of the impact of tourism development on economic growth show that: first, inbound, domestic and overall tourism development can significantly promote economic growth in China. Moreover, the development of inbound tourism has a higher driving effect on economic growth than domestic tourism. Secondly, inbound tourism can effectively play the role of narrowing regional income gap. Finally, immigration, The impact of domestic and overall tourism on economic growth varies with the level of tourism development. The impact of inbound tourism development on economic growth is not significant in areas with low level of inbound tourism development, while the impact of domestic and overall tourism development is small or even insignificant in areas with higher levels of tourism development.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F592.7

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