山东省入境旅游对进出口影响研究
发布时间：2018-11-23 16:23
【摘要】：随着国家一系列支持鼓励旅游产业发展措施的出台实施，，作为中国沿海旅游山东省，凭借丰富的旅游资源和便利的交通位置，全省的入境旅游作为旅游业的重要组成部分，发展迅速。与此同时，山东作为沿海经济大省，对外贸易发展突飞猛进，进出口总额增长迅速。 根据旅游经济学的相关理论，大多数学者认为入境旅游与该地区经济发展存在密切的联系，入境旅游业的发展往往能够带动当地对外贸易的发展。对于山东省是否满足该理论，是否可以通过入境旅游业的发展带动山东外向型经济发展的理论研究可以为山东省入境旅游业发展和经济增长未来规划提供理论支持。 通过搜集整理山东省17市2000-2011年的入境旅游、进出口总额的相关数据，发现二者之间具有同向波动的趋势，由此猜测二者之间很可能存在密切关系。为了准确研究二者之间的关系，本文进行了定量分析，格兰杰检验结果表明两者关系主要表现为入境旅游对进出口的影响作用。利用面板数据模型对山东省入境旅游与进出口总额之间的关系进行实证分析。面板模型定量分析说明，全省入境旅游与进出口之间存在着均衡关系，入境旅游的发展对进出口产生正向的效应。本文使用最后结合山东省各市的自身具备的旅游资源状况和对外经济发展程度，为不同地区入境旅游的发展提出可行性建议。
[Abstract]:With the introduction and implementation of a series of measures to support and encourage the development of the tourism industry, as China's coastal tourism Shandong Province, with its rich tourism resources and convenient traffic location, inbound tourism of the province is an important part of the tourism industry. The development is rapid. At the same time, Shandong as a coastal economic province, foreign trade development by leaps and bounds, import and export total increase rapidly. According to the related theories of tourism economics, most scholars believe that the inbound tourism has a close relationship with the economic development of the region, and the development of inbound tourism can often promote the development of local foreign trade. The theoretical research on whether Shandong province satisfies this theory and whether the development of inbound tourism can promote the development of Shandong export-oriented economy can provide theoretical support for the future planning of Shandong's inbound tourism development and economic growth. Through collecting and sorting out the relevant data of inbound tourism and total import and export of 17 cities in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2011, it is found that there is a trend of the same direction fluctuation between them, and it is speculated that there may be a close relationship between them. In order to accurately study the relationship between the two, this paper carried out quantitative analysis, Granger test results show that the relationship between the two is mainly the impact of inbound tourism on imports and exports. Using panel data model, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between inbound tourism and total import and export of Shandong Province. The quantitative analysis of panel model shows that there is a balanced relationship between inbound tourism and import and export, and the development of inbound tourism has a positive effect on import and export. In this paper, the author puts forward some feasible suggestions for the development of inbound tourism in different regions by combining the situation of tourism resources and the degree of foreign economic development of each city in Shandong Province.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学（华东）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F592.7;F752.6
本文编号：2352052
[Abstract]:With the introduction and implementation of a series of measures to support and encourage the development of the tourism industry, as China's coastal tourism Shandong Province, with its rich tourism resources and convenient traffic location, inbound tourism of the province is an important part of the tourism industry. The development is rapid. At the same time, Shandong as a coastal economic province, foreign trade development by leaps and bounds, import and export total increase rapidly. According to the related theories of tourism economics, most scholars believe that the inbound tourism has a close relationship with the economic development of the region, and the development of inbound tourism can often promote the development of local foreign trade. The theoretical research on whether Shandong province satisfies this theory and whether the development of inbound tourism can promote the development of Shandong export-oriented economy can provide theoretical support for the future planning of Shandong's inbound tourism development and economic growth. Through collecting and sorting out the relevant data of inbound tourism and total import and export of 17 cities in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2011, it is found that there is a trend of the same direction fluctuation between them, and it is speculated that there may be a close relationship between them. In order to accurately study the relationship between the two, this paper carried out quantitative analysis, Granger test results show that the relationship between the two is mainly the impact of inbound tourism on imports and exports. Using panel data model, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between inbound tourism and total import and export of Shandong Province. The quantitative analysis of panel model shows that there is a balanced relationship between inbound tourism and import and export, and the development of inbound tourism has a positive effect on import and export. In this paper, the author puts forward some feasible suggestions for the development of inbound tourism in different regions by combining the situation of tourism resources and the degree of foreign economic development of each city in Shandong Province.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学（华东）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F592.7;F752.6
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