我国滨海旅游业的演化的动力机制研究

发布时间：2019-02-16 22:24

【摘要】：如今是旅游业愈发兴盛的时代，滨海旅游业作为其重要组成部分更是各国重视的战略产业。近几年来，我国也将滨海旅游业上升到战略地位。改革开放以来我国滨海旅游业经历了30多年的高速发展，但其自身也积累下很多矛盾和问题，如发展粗放式增长、资源利用不充分等，这些都是产业转型升级中必不可少遇到的问题。所以，有必要从产业演化的角度对我国滨海旅游产业过程进行研究，探讨其内在的演化动力机制，从而推动我国滨海旅游业健康有序的发展。本文主要采用的是实证分析方法，对我国滨海旅游业演化的动力机制进行研究。文章主要包括五个部分，第一部分介绍了产业经济学、协同学相关理论，以此作为本文的理论研究基础。第二部分则是分析我国滨海旅游业演化的内因定性分析。第三部分是本文的研究重点，选取（1985-2001，2002-2009）两时间段对，，分别我国滨海国际旅游和滨海旅游业发展过程进行实证分析。第四部分是在根据前几章定性定量分析提出促进我国滨海旅游业健康有序发展的对策建议。本文以协同学理论为基础，以我国1985-2009年滨海旅游业相关指标作为为样本数据，利用协同演化动力模型来对我国滨海旅游业进行研究。主要结论：第一，滨海旅游业年末职工人数、沿海城市涉外饭店客房数、国内生产总值为滨海国际旅游业的系统演化的序参量。第二，主要沿海城市星级饭店客房数，城镇居民人均可支配收入，主要沿海城市国际旅游外汇收入为滨海旅游业的演化与发展的序参量。本文基于自组织理论研究滨海旅游产业系统的演化动力机制，这是第一次使用此种方法对此产业进行研究，是理论与实践结合的一次创新。通过对滨海旅游业的演化研究，建立协同演化模型，才能找出我国滨海旅游业发展中的促进和抑制因素，这些动力因子到底是以如何相互作用进而影响我国滨海旅游业的发展的。本文研究还有需完善的部分。首先，因中国海洋统计年鉴统计口径的变化，本文只能从滨海国际旅游业和滨海旅游业两部分来分别分析其演化动力机制；其次，有些数据的指标仍不统一，但也进行了实证分证。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, tourism is becoming more and more prosperous. As an important part of it, coastal tourism is a strategic industry that all countries attach importance to. In recent years, our country will also coastal tourism to a strategic position. Since the reform and opening up, China's coastal tourism industry has experienced rapid development for more than 30 years, but it has accumulated many contradictions and problems, such as extensive growth, inadequate utilization of resources and so on. These are essential problems in industrial transformation and upgrading. Therefore, it is necessary to study the process of coastal tourism industry in China from the angle of industrial evolution, and to explore its internal evolution dynamic mechanism to promote the healthy and orderly development of coastal tourism in China. This paper mainly adopts the empirical analysis method to study the dynamic mechanism of coastal tourism evolution in China. The first part introduces the theory of industrial economics and Synergetics, which is the theoretical basis of this paper. The second part is the qualitative analysis of the evolution of coastal tourism in China. The third part is the focus of this paper, selected (1985-2001 to 2002-2009) two time periods, respectively, China's coastal international tourism and coastal tourism development process for empirical analysis. The fourth part puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote the healthy and orderly development of coastal tourism in China according to the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the previous chapters. Based on the theory of Synergetics and taking the relative indexes of coastal tourism in China from 1985 to 2009 as the sample data, this paper studies the coastal tourism in China by using the dynamic model of co-evolution. The main conclusions are as follows: first the number of employees at the end of coastal tourism the number of hotel rooms in coastal cities and the gross domestic product (GDP) are the order parameters of the evolution of coastal international tourism. Second, the number of star hotel rooms in the main coastal cities, the per capita disposable income of urban residents, and the foreign exchange income of international tourism of major coastal cities are the order parameters of the evolution and development of coastal tourism. Based on the self-organization theory, this paper studies the evolutionary motive mechanism of coastal tourism industry system. This is the first time to study this industry by using this method, and it is an innovation combining theory with practice. By studying the evolution of coastal tourism and establishing a cooperative evolution model, we can find out the factors that promote and restrain the development of coastal tourism in China. These dynamic factors affect the development of coastal tourism in China by how to interact with each other. There are still some parts to be improved in this paper. Firstly, due to the change of statistical caliber of China Marine Statistics Yearbook, this paper can only analyze its evolution motive mechanism from the two parts of Binhai International Tourism and Coastal Tourism. Second, some data indicators are still not uniform, but also carried out empirical evidence.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F592.7

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