中澳农产品贸易潜力的研究——基于引力模型的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-09 21:57

本文关键词：中澳农产品贸易潜力的研究——基于引力模型的实证分析　出处：《世界农业》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文基于2002—2015年中国和澳大利亚农产品贸易数据,分析中澳农产品贸易现状、贸易相似度、贸易互补性。研究得出:中澳双边农产品贸易中以中国进口农产品为主,贸易规模大、增长快。中澳两国的农产品贸易互补性因农产品种类的不同存在着明显的差异,大部分农产品的互补性随着贸易的不断深入不断增强。2002—2004年中澳两国出口的农产品具有很大的相似度,在国际市场的竞争程度较高,而从2005年开始,两国出口的农产品重合度减少,在第三方市场上的农产品的竞争程度下降。在此基础上,采用贸易引力模型对中澳农产品贸易潜力进行实证分析,研究发现中澳两国农产品贸易潜力还未充分发挥,还有很大的发掘空间。因此,虽然中澳自由贸易协定刚生效,但中国亟须积极主动深化中澳自由贸易区的建立,逐步向深度一体化发展,促进中澳农产品贸易互利性增长,充分挖掘农产品贸易进一步合作潜力。
[Abstract]:Based on the agricultural trade data of China and Australia from 2002 to 2015, this paper analyzes the current situation and trade similarity of agricultural products between China and Australia. Trade complementarities. The study shows that the bilateral agricultural trade between China and Australia is dominated by China's imports of agricultural products, and the scale of trade is large. The trade complementarities of agricultural products between China and Australia are obviously different from each other because of the different types of agricultural products. The complementarity of most agricultural products with the deepening of trade. From 2002 to 2004, the export of agricultural products between China and Australia has a great similarity, and the degree of competition in the international market is high. Since 2005, the degree of overlap of agricultural products exported by the two countries has decreased, and the degree of competition of agricultural products in the third party market has decreased. The trade gravity model is used to analyze the trade potential of agricultural products in China and Australia, and it is found that the trade potential of agricultural products between China and Australia has not been fully developed, and there is still a lot of room to explore. Although the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement has just come into effect, it is urgent for China to proactively deepen the establishment of the China-Australia Free Trade area, to gradually develop into a deeper integration, and to promote the mutually beneficial growth of Sino-Australian agricultural trade. We will fully tap the potential for further cooperation in agricultural trade.
【作者单位】：石家庄职业技术学院;
【分类号】：F313.7;F752.7;F756.11
【正文快照】： 中澳双方作为各自重要的贸易伙伴,双边贸易一直以来都保持着良好的发展态势。而且两国都是世界农业生产和贸易大国,澳大利亚作为中国主要的农产品进口国之一,2002年以来,中国对澳大利亚的农产品进口额连续12年高于10亿美元,2015年更是高达89亿美元,创历史新高,且有扩大进口的

【相似文献】