中国农村三大要素市场发育的互动关联逻辑——基于农户多要素联合决策的分析

发布时间：2018-01-12 12:13

本文关键词：中国农村三大要素市场发育的互动关联逻辑——基于农户多要素联合决策的分析　出处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：已有文章较多集中讨论劳动力和土地要素之间的互动关系,而鲜有研究将资本要素一并纳入其中,导致对农村三大要素流动之间的相互关系缺乏整体把握。本文以中国现实情境为逻辑起点,将三大要素纳入同一个分析框架,从农户行为机理层面阐释农户要素投入联合决策机制,进而结合全国九省2 082个农户样本调查数据,采用Mv Probit模型分析三大要素市场发育的微观动力机制及其互动关联逻辑。研究表明:三大要素市场发育之间具有关联性特征,其中,非农就业转移与土地转出行为之间存在正向互动关系,非农就业转移与资金借贷行为之间存在显著的负向抑制关系,农地转入与资金借贷行为之间存在显著的正向促进关系。三大要素市场的相互关联、相互牵制的特征表明:政府对于三个市场中任何一个市场的政策都应该考虑到对其他市场可能存在的牵制作用,应协同推进"人动、地动、钱动"三类市场协调发展和良性互动,实现多重政策目标的有效整合。一是借助于"人动、地动"的互动机制,构建一个开放并不断拓展的农地流转市场发育。二是从"人动、钱动"的角度看,需要解构两者之间的负向抑制关系,关注如何引导农民从简单的非农就业型转移转向"发财"动机的创业型转移,构建起农民创业型转移与创业型金融资本借贷的正向促进机制。三是利用"地动、钱动"的互动机制,进一步撬动两大市场的发展。
[Abstract]:There have been more articles focused on the interaction between labor and land elements, and few studies have included capital elements. This paper takes the Chinese realistic situation as the logical starting point and brings the three elements into the same analytical framework. From the mechanism of farmers' behavior, this paper explains the joint decision-making mechanism of farmers' factor input, and then combines the data of 2,082 farmers' sample investigation in nine provinces of China. Mv Probit model is used to analyze the micro dynamic mechanism of the market development of the three major factors and its interactive correlation logic. The research shows that the development of the three major factors market has the characteristics of correlation, among which. There is a positive interaction between non-agricultural employment transfer and land transfer behavior, and a significant negative inhibition relationship between non-agricultural employment transfer and capital lending behavior. There is a significant positive promotion relationship between agricultural land transfer and capital lending behavior. The characteristics of mutual restraint indicate that the government's policy towards any one of the three markets should take into account the possible restraining effect on other markets, and it should promote "human movement and ground movement". Money "three kinds of market coordinated development and benign interaction, to achieve the effective integration of multiple policy objectives. One is by means of" people move, ground movement "interactive mechanism. Second, from the point of view of "people move, money move", we need to deconstruct the negative inhibition relationship between the two. Focus on how to guide farmers from the simple non-agricultural employment transfer to the "wealth" motivation of entrepreneurial transfer, the construction of farmers entrepreneurial transfer and entrepreneurial financial capital lending positive promotion mechanism. Third, the use of "land movement". Money "interaction mechanism, further leverage the development of the two major markets."
【作者单位】：华南农业大学经济管理学院;华南农业大学国家农业制度与发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目“农村土地与相关要素市场培育与改革研究”(批准号:71333004) 国家社会科学基金项目“资产专用性、声誉效应与农村互联性贷款自我履约的机理研究”(批准号:16AJY015) 2017年广东省高校人文社科重大项目“农地三权分置的实践研究”(批准号:gxskzd018)
【分类号】：F323
【正文快照】： 农村生产要素流动能提高资源配置效率,具有边际拉平效应和交易收益效应[1-2]。中国农村要素正在发生深刻的变化,一方面是随着工业化发展和户籍制度的放松,农户劳动力大量向城市转移,2015年我国外出打工人数已达到1.68亿(http://money.163.com/15/0228/11/AJHNO10M00252G50.htm

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