四川省城镇化发展对农民收入水平增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-17 21:13

本文关键词：四川省城镇化发展对农民收入水平增长的影响研究　出处：《西南科技大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：农民增收问题是“三农”问题的核心。四川省作为我国农业大省,农业人口众多,在城镇化快速发展的时代背景下,如何利用城镇化来促进农民增收已经成为四川省经济工作的重中之重。本文使用城镇常住人口作为城镇化水平的衡量变量,利用四川省和浙江省2000-2013年的数据,站在城镇化发展对农民收入不同成份、对不同收入水平农民增收的影响和川浙对比分析的基础上,用计量经济学的方法系统的分析了四川省城镇化对农民增收的各种影响关系。得出了下述结论:首先,四川省城镇化的发展与农民人均纯收入及其各个组成部分之间均存在长期的正向均衡关系,但对人均纯收入各构成部分的影响力度不同,城镇化水平每提高1%,农民人均纯收入、工资性收入、经营性收入、财产性收入和转移性收入分别增长约2.5%,2.5%,0.59%,12.42%和3.79%,影响力由大到小依次为:财产性收入、转移性收入、工资性收入和经营性收入,这与前人的研究结果有所区别。虽然在短期内城镇化发展对农民收入各构成部分的冲击作用很小,但长期来看其作用逐渐增强,并趋于稳定,这要求在制定相关政策时要以长期为主,短期为辅。其次,四川省城镇化对不同收入水平农民增收都存在着积极的影响,但是其影响力度是不同的,城镇化水平每提高1%,高收入、中等收入和低收入水平农民的收入分别可以增长约4.56,8.46和3.40个百分点,影响力度由大到小依次为:高收入、中等收入和低收入。城镇化发展对收入差距扩大的弹性系数为4.56,表明城镇化水平每提高1%,收入差距扩大4.56%。随着四川省城镇化的发展,四川省农村内部的收入差距不断地扩大。最后,对比四川省和浙江省城镇化对农民收入增长的影响,发现虽然二省的城镇化发展水平对农民收入增长都存在较为显著地促进作用,但是无论从短期来看还是从长期来看,浙江省的城镇化发展对农民收入增长的影响都明显的高于四川省。从弹性系数的角度来看,对四川省和浙江省来说,城镇化水平每提高1%,农民人均纯收入可以提高2.4068%和3.9059%,我们可以看出浙江省的效用是四川省的1.6倍;短期内对农民人均纯收入的调整力度分别为0.2521和0.8536,浙江省的自我调节机制也优于四川省。在实证分析与实地调研的基础上,站在收入结构视角下,提炼出浙江省城镇化战略对农民收入增长的关键模式,即收入的协同效应。在上述研究的基础上,分别站在农民不同收入结构视角、不同收入水平视角下,在借鉴沿海发达省份的经验上提出对策建议。
[Abstract]:As a big agricultural province in China, Sichuan Province has a large agricultural population, under the background of the rapid development of urbanization. How to use urbanization to promote farmers' income has become the most important part of the economic work in Sichuan Province. This paper uses the urban resident population as the measurement variable of urbanization level. Based on the data of Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2013, this paper analyzes the effects of urbanization on farmers' income and the increase of farmers' income in different income levels as well as the comparative analysis between Sichuan and Zhejiang. This paper systematically analyzes the relationship between urbanization and farmers' income in Sichuan Province by econometrics method and draws the following conclusions: first of all. There is a long-term positive equilibrium relationship between the development of urbanization and the per capita net income of farmers and its components, but the impact on the components of per capita net income is different. For every increase in the level of urbanization, the per capita net income, wage income, operating income, property income and transfer income of farmers increased by about 2.5% and 0.59% respectively. In 12.42% and 3.79, the order of influence is: property income, transfer income, wage income and operating income. This is different from previous research results. Although the impact of urbanization on farmers' income components is very small in the short term, in the long run, its role is gradually enhanced, and tends to stabilize. This requires that in the formulation of related policies to long-term, short-term supplementary. Secondly, urbanization in Sichuan Province has a positive impact on the income of farmers at different levels of income, but its impact is different. For every increase in urbanization level, the income of farmers with high income, middle income and low income can increase by about 4.56% or 8.46% and 3.40% respectively. The degree of influence from big to small is as follows: high income, middle income and low income. The elasticity coefficient of urbanization development on income gap is 4.56, indicating that the level of urbanization increases by 1%. With the development of urbanization in Sichuan Province, the income gap within the rural areas of Sichuan Province continues to expand. Finally, the impact of urbanization on the growth of farmers' income in Sichuan Province and Zhejiang Province is compared. It is found that although the urbanization level of the two provinces has a relatively significant role in promoting the growth of farmers' income, it can be seen in both the short and long term. The impact of urbanization on the growth of farmers' income in Zhejiang Province is obviously higher than that in Sichuan Province. From the perspective of elasticity coefficient, for Sichuan and Zhejiang Province, the level of urbanization increases by 1%. The per capita net income of farmers can be increased by 2.4068% and 3.9059. we can see that the utility of Zhejiang Province is 1.6 times that of Sichuan Province. In the short term, the adjustment of farmers' per capita net income is 0.2521 and 0.8536 respectively, and the self-regulation mechanism of Zhejiang Province is better than that of Sichuan Province. From the perspective of income structure, this paper abstracts the key model of urbanization strategy to farmers' income growth in Zhejiang Province, that is, the synergetic effect of income. On the basis of the above research, the author respectively stands in the perspective of different income structure of farmers. From the perspective of different income levels, this paper puts forward some suggestions on the experience of developed coastal provinces.
【学位授予单位】：西南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.27;F323.8

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