猪肉储备政策对价格的影响及福利分析

发布时间：2018-03-09 19:30

本文选题：理性预期库存模型　切入点：猪肉储备　出处：《南京农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过构建包含政府干预的理性预期库存模型,根据中国生猪和猪肉市场特征及储备政策对模型各项参数进行校准,模拟了政策干预对猪粮比、生产者和消费者福利以及政策成本的影响。研究发现,储备调控下猪粮比基本在预设区间内,但猪粮比峰谷值的差距增大。在干预政策下,能够增进消费者的福利,而对生产者的福利产生损失,政策成本主要由储存成本决定。政府可以适当控制储备规模,完善生猪及猪肉市场的监测预警体系,选择合适的时机干预市场并加强对商业库存的引导。
[Abstract]:By constructing a rational expected inventory model including government intervention and calibrating the parameters of the model according to the characteristics of Chinese pig and pork markets and the reserve policy, the ratio of policy intervention to pig grain is simulated. The effects of producer and consumer welfare and policy cost. The study found that the pig grain ratio is basically within the preset range under reserve regulation, but the gap between peak and valley values of pig grain ratio is larger. Under the intervention policy, the welfare of consumers can be enhanced. The policy cost is mainly determined by the storage cost. The government can properly control the size of the reserves and improve the monitoring and warning system for the pig and pork markets. Choose the right time to intervene in the market and strengthen the guidance to the commercial inventory.
【作者单位】：南京农业大学经济管理学院;南京林业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“储备调控对猪肉价格波动的影响研究”(71403123) 南京农业大学中央高校基本科研业务费人文社科基金项目“家禽产业经济岗位科学家培育”(SKGW2016001) 江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)
【分类号】：F323.7

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