农民工的返乡行为及其就业分化研究

发布时间：2018-03-21 13:52

  本文选题：农民工　切入点：返乡行为　出处：《农业经济问题》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文使用2012年中国劳动力动态调查数据研究了农民工的返乡行为以及返乡之后的就业分化现象,得出以下主要结论:35.88%有外出务工经历的农村劳动力已经永久性返乡、重新进入农业、处于失业、雇员和自我雇佣等就业状况的返乡农民工比例分别为45.97%、13.26%、24%、16.76%。基于Logit和Multinomial Logit模型的计量检验显示,男性、40岁以上、较高的家庭规模和家庭人口抚养比将导致农民工返乡的概率显著上升,人力资本水平与农民工返乡之间存在着显著的负相关关系;男性返乡者失业的可能性显著较低;随着受教育水平、个人能力的提高,返乡农民工处于失业、雇员和自我雇佣等状况的概率也显著上升;而村庄特征和相关的外出务工经历也对就业分化产生了显著影响。
[Abstract]:Using the data of China Labor Force dynamic Survey in 2012, this paper studies the behavior of migrant workers returning home and the phenomenon of employment differentiation after returning home. The main conclusions are as follows: 35.88% of the rural labor force who have the experience of migrant workers have returned to their hometown permanently. The proportion of migrant workers returning to their hometowns in the form of re-entry into agriculture, unemployment, employees and self-employment was 45.97 and 13.262.24% 16.766.Based on the Logit and Multinomial Logit models, a quantitative test showed that men were over 40 years old. Higher family size and family dependency ratio will lead to a significant increase in the probability of migrant workers returning home, there is a significant negative correlation between the level of human capital and the return of migrant workers; With the improvement of education level and personal ability, the probability of migrant workers returning to their hometown is unemployed, and the probability of employees and self-employment also increases significantly, and the characteristics of villages and the relevant experience of migrant workers also have a significant impact on the employment differentiation.
【作者单位】： 南京农业大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：南京农业大学中央高校基本科研业务费人文社会科学研究基金资助(编号:SKCX2016009)
【分类号】：F323.6;F249.2
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本文编号：1644137