湖北省土地利用碳排放效率及差别化低碳土地利用调控研究

发布时间：2018-03-22 14:23

本文选题：湖北省　切入点：土地利用碳排放　出处：《华中农业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近些年,我国经济发展已经进入调速换挡期,由高速发展进入了中高速发展阶段。造成经济降速的主要原因之一就是环境问题不断加重,资源依赖型的经济增长方式已难以适应发展的需要。土地利用碳排放作为经济发展的主要非期望产出,是指土地利用承载人类活动导致的碳排放,包括能源消费、农业生产、废弃物处理等。本文全面分析了湖北省土地利用碳排放总量特征、时空演变规律及土地利用碳排放效率,并基于差别化土地利用管理对湖北省土地利用调控开展研究。具体内容有:第一,介绍了相关理论并梳理了土地利用碳排放的相关研究综述。根据对大量文献的整理和分析,从土地利用碳排放测算、土地利用碳排放效应分析等方面,对研究涉及的相关内容进行梳理,并指出已有研究在测算体系、效率分析及针对性的差别化土地管理政策方面可能存在的不足,基于此确定进一步研究的方向。第二,对湖北省土地利用碳排放总量及其时空演变规律进行分析。参考IPCC给出的温室气体排放清单指南及国内外有关土地利用碳排放的相关研究成果,构建土地利用碳排放核算体系,具体包括能源、农业生产、废弃物等。引入脱钩模型,分析湖北省土地利用碳排放与经济增长的互动关系,通过脱钩状态判断湖北省在研究时序内经济运行的质量与可持续性。根据各类用地的碳排放强度计算湖北省各市土地利用碳排放量,分析湖北省土地利用碳排放的空间特征及演变规律。第三,基于非期望产出理论分析湖北省土地利用碳排放效率。借助生产效率分析中的Malmquist指数模型,将湖北省与内地其他省级行政区域进行比较,综合分析湖北省土地利用碳排放的技术、规模、综合效率等。运用数据包络分析法,分析各地土地利用碳排放静态效率的差异特征,根据效率差异将评价单元划分为高效率区、中效率区、低效率区,引导后续差别化土地利用调控。最后,构建了差别化低碳土地利用结构优化模型。权衡低碳效益和经济效益双重目标,根据效率分区结果,确定差别化的土地利用调控目标,运用多目标规划构建低碳土地利用结构优化模型,为选取的三个典型城市制定方案。根据各地特征,从转变土地利用方式、提高能源利用效率、改善农业生产效率等方面探讨差别化低碳土地利用调控政策。本文建立了区域土地利用碳排放效应分析框架,构建了基于静态效率的差别化低碳土地利用结构优化模型,制定了区域差别化低碳土地利用调控政策,全面地分析了湖北省土地利用碳排放整体与局部的协调性和互动关系,为从差别化土地利用视角引导土地利用碳排放效率改善及碳减排提供了系统的研究方法,为土地资源在区域间的高效配置提供了新的思路,对丰富差别化低碳土地利用的相关研究内容及制定差别化低碳土地利用管理政策具有一定的理论和实践意义。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's economic development has entered the speed shift period, from the high-speed development to the medium-high speed development stage. One of the main reasons for the economic deceleration is the worsening of environmental problems. As the main non-expected output of economic development, land use carbon emission means that land use carries carbon emissions caused by human activities, including energy consumption and agricultural production. The characteristics of total carbon emissions of land use in Hubei Province, the law of space-time evolution and the efficiency of carbon emissions of land use are analyzed in this paper. And based on differentiated land use management to carry out research on the regulation of land use in Hubei Province. The specific contents are: first, introduced the relevant theories and combed the land use carbon emissions related research review. According to a large number of literature collation and analysis, From the aspects of land use carbon emission measurement, land use carbon emission effect analysis and so on, this paper combs the related contents of the research, and points out that the existing research is in the measurement system. Efficiency analysis and targeted differentiated land management policy may be inadequate, based on which to determine the direction of further research. Second, This paper analyzes the total amount of land use carbon emissions and its temporal and spatial evolution in Hubei Province, and constructs a land use carbon emission accounting system with reference to the greenhouse gas emission inventory guidelines given by IPCC and the related research results on land use carbon emissions at home and abroad. Including energy, agricultural production, waste and so on. The decoupling model is introduced to analyze the interaction between carbon emissions from land use and economic growth in Hubei Province. The quality and sustainability of economic operation in Hubei Province are judged by decoupling state. According to the carbon emission intensity of all kinds of land use, the carbon emissions from land use in Hubei Province are calculated. The spatial characteristics and evolution of land use carbon emissions in Hubei Province are analyzed. Thirdly, based on the theory of non-expected output, the efficiency of land use carbon emissions in Hubei Province is analyzed. The Malmquist index model is used in the analysis of production efficiency. By comparing Hubei Province with other provincial administrative regions in the mainland, the paper comprehensively analyzes the technology, scale and comprehensive efficiency of carbon emission from land use in Hubei Province. This paper analyzes the difference characteristics of static efficiency of land use carbon emissions, divides the evaluation unit into high efficiency area, middle efficiency area and low efficiency area according to the difference of efficiency. Finally, it guides the subsequent differential land use regulation. The optimization model of differentiated low carbon land use structure was constructed. The dual objectives of low carbon benefit and economic benefit were weighed, and the differential land use control objectives were determined according to the results of efficiency zoning. The optimization model of low carbon land use structure is constructed by using multi-objective programming. According to the characteristics of the three typical cities, according to the local characteristics, we can improve the energy use efficiency by changing the land use mode and improving the energy use efficiency. In order to improve the efficiency of agricultural production, this paper discusses the policy of differential low carbon land use regulation and control. In this paper, an analytical framework of regional land use carbon emission effect is established, and an optimized model of differential low carbon land use structure based on static efficiency is established. The regional differential low carbon land use regulation policy is formulated, and the coordination and interaction between the whole and the local land use carbon emissions in Hubei Province are analyzed comprehensively. It provides a systematic research method to guide the improvement of carbon emission efficiency and carbon emission reduction of land use from the perspective of differential land use, and provides a new way of thinking for the efficient allocation of land resources among regions. It has certain theoretical and practical significance to enrich the related research content of differentiated low carbon land use and to formulate the policy of differential low carbon land use management.
【学位授予单位】：华中农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F301.2

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