气候变化与农户适应性行为决策

发布时间：2018-03-30 12:35

本文选题：气候变化　切入点：适应能力　出处：《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年05期

【摘要】：利用陕西省苹果种植户微观调查数据与Double-hurdle模型,实证分析气候变化、适应能力对苹果种植户适应性行为决策的影响。研究发现:样本中仅27.90%农户采用果园覆盖措施适应气候变化,且户均采用强度为1.51亩;气温变化、降水量是影响农户适应性行为决策选择的主要因素,而气温是影响农户适应性行为采用强度的主要因素;适应能力是影响农户气候变化适应性行为决策的关键因素;人力资本中农业劳动力数量、参加技术培训次数,物资资本中生产性工具及社会资本中合作组织参与对农户适应性行为决策有显著的诱导作用;自然资本中人均耕地面积、人均苹果种植面积,金融资本中家庭总现金收入,物资资本中生产性工具及社会资本中通讯费用对农户适应性行为采用强度有积极影响。
[Abstract]:Using the microcosmic survey data of apple growers in Shaanxi Province and the Double-hurdle model, the climate change is analyzed empirically. The effect of adaptive ability on adaptive behavior decision of apple growers. The results showed that only 27.90% of the farmers used orchard cover measures to adapt to climate change, and the intensity of adaptation was 1.51 mu. Precipitation is the main factor that affects the decision making of farmers' adaptive behavior, and the temperature is the main factor that affects the intensity of adaptive behavior of farmers, the adaptability is the key factor to affect the decision-making of farmers' adaptive behavior of climate change. The number of agricultural labor in human capital, the number of technical training, the productive tools in material capital and the cooperative organization in social capital have a significant inducing effect on farmers' adaptive behavior decision. The area of apple planting per capita, the total cash income of households in financial capital, productive tools in material capital and communication expenses in social capital have positive effects on the intensity of adaptive behavior of farmers.
【作者单位】：西北农林科技大学经济管理学院/西部农村发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家科技重点项目(CARS-28) 国家自然科学基金项目(71573211)
【分类号】：F326.13;S16

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