政策性农业保险对农业生产水平影响效应的实证研究——基于全国31个省份面板数据分位数回归

发布时间：2018-04-06 01:28

本文选题：农业保险　切入点：面板分位数回归　出处：《中国农业大学学报》2017年12期

【摘要】：基于2007—2015年全国31个省份的面板数据,利用面板分位数回归方法从农业保险发展水平与农业保险赔付水平2个维度实证分析了政策性农业保险对我国农业生产的影响,并针对实证结果进行了子样本的稳健性检验。分析结果表明:农业保险发展水平可以显著促进农业生产水平的提高,但在不同分位下其影响效应存在差别,在较低分位上,农业保险发展水平对农业生产水平促进作用较大,随着分位点的提高,农业保险发展水平对农业生产水平的促进作用逐渐降低。然而农业保险赔付水平对农业生产水平的促进作用相对较小。因此完善政策性农业保险制度应当努力扩大农业保险覆盖面,重点扩大农业生产水平较低地区的农业保险覆盖面,着力提高农业保险保障和赔付水平,增加农业保险险种。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2007 to 2015, the impact of policy agricultural insurance on China's agricultural production is analyzed empirically from two dimensions: the level of agricultural insurance development and the level of payment of agricultural insurance by using panel quantile regression method.The robustness test of the subsample is carried out in the light of the empirical results.The results show that the development level of agricultural insurance can significantly promote the improvement of agricultural production level, but the effect of agricultural insurance development level is different under different quantiles, and the level of agricultural insurance development level can promote agricultural production level greatly in lower quantiles.With the improvement of loci, the promoting effect of agricultural insurance development level on agricultural production level decreases gradually.However, the level of agricultural insurance indemnity plays a relatively small role in promoting agricultural production.Therefore, to perfect the policy-oriented agricultural insurance system, we should expand the coverage of agricultural insurance, focus on expanding the coverage of agricultural insurance in areas with low agricultural production level, focus on improving the level of agricultural insurance protection and compensation, and increase the types of agricultural insurance coverage.
【作者单位】：华中农业大学经济管理学院;湖北农村发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71173086);国家自然科学基金项目(71773033);国家自然科学基金项目(71703048) 中央高校基本科研业务费资助(2662016PY080)
【分类号】：F323;F842.66

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