海水养殖业发展影响因素的实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 11:29

本文选题：海水养殖业 + 对虾养殖业　；参考：《青岛大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪最具开发潜力和最有发展前景的资源是海洋资源,我国是海洋资源丰富的国家,适宜发展海水养殖业,供给和需求的契合将给国内的海水养殖业带来更大的发展空间。从我国海水养殖业发展的模式来看,我国海水养殖经历了藻类、虾类、贝类、鱼类、海珍品五次养殖浪潮,本文拟对我国海水养殖业、对虾养殖业、鱼类养殖业发展的现状、周期性及影响因素进行实证分析,研究海洋养殖业发展的周期性及其内在动力。通过对海水养殖业、对虾养殖业、鱼类养殖业进行研究,发现都经历了起步、发展、繁荣、衰落的周期性阶段,且目前都处于产业发展的衰落阶段,因此需要对其发展的影响因素进行分析,养殖业发展的影响因素是复杂的,关键因素主要有:市场、政府、资本、科技、价格、偏好等,本文主要从国际市场、政府投资、资本投入三大因素来分析其对养殖产量变化的影响。根据协整检验以及要素贡献率的结果,在整个养殖业发展的过程中,市场对其发展的影响是最重要的;但是从灰色关联度的分析来看,在养殖业发展的初期阶段政府扶持是最重要的,这可以解释海水养殖业为什么发生了五次养殖浪潮,政府主导养殖产业的转移;在对对虾和鱼类养殖的研究中,国际市场的是其发展的根本影响因素,说明养殖模式是相对合理的;但对整个海水养殖业的分析发现,资本投入是影响产量的根本因素,这说明我国海水养殖业的发展是高投入低产出的粗放式的养殖模式。
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, the most potential and promising resources are marine resources. Our country is rich in marine resources, which is suitable for the development of mariculture. The combination of supply and demand will bring more space for the development of domestic mariculture. From the view of the development pattern of marine culture in China, the marine culture in China has experienced five waves of algae, shrimps, shellfish, fish and marine treasures. This paper intends to review the current situation of the development of marine culture, shrimp culture and fish culture in China. The periodicity and influencing factors are analyzed empirically to study the periodicity and internal motive force of marine aquaculture development. Through the study of mariculture, shrimp culture and fish culture, it is found that all of them have experienced the periodic stages of starting, developing, flourishing and declining, and are now in the declining stage of industrial development. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the influencing factors of its development. The influencing factors of the development of aquaculture are complex, the key factors are: market, government, capital, science and technology, price, preference, etc. This paper mainly from the international market, government investment, etc. Three major factors of capital investment to analyze its impact on aquaculture production changes. According to the results of cointegration test and factor contribution rate, the influence of market on the development of aquaculture industry is the most important in the whole development process, but from the analysis of grey correlation degree, In the early stage of aquaculture development, government support is the most important, which can explain why the mariculture industry has undergone five waves of culture, the transfer of government-led culture industry; in the study of shrimp and fish culture, The international market is the fundamental factor affecting its development, which shows that the breeding model is relatively reasonable. However, an analysis of the entire mariculture industry shows that capital input is the fundamental factor affecting production. This indicates that the development of mariculture in China is an extensive model with high input and low output.
【学位授予单位】：青岛大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F326.4

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