家庭化流动、融入意愿对农民工城市生活消费的影响效应研究——来自CHIP2013的证据

发布时间：2018-05-14 12:13

  本文选题：家庭化流动 + 融入意愿　； 参考：《消费经济》2017年04期

【摘要】：农民工举家外出并意图融入城市已成为城乡劳动力流动的一个新趋势,而举家外出和融入意愿是否对农民工在务工地的消费产生影响呢?基于中国家庭收入调查数据(CHIP2013),利用OLS回归和分位数回归方法,估计了家庭化流动和融入意愿对农民工城市生活消费支出的影响。研究发现:家庭化流动和融入意愿显著提升了农民工在城市的消费水平,两者存在显著的交互效应,且不受家庭消费水平高低的影响。同时,研究也证实了持久性收入假说,即收入是影响农民工家庭消费的主要因素,而农民工家庭的消费行为与储蓄行为之间以及生活消费和住房等其他消费之间存在一定的替代效应,但替代效应并不强。研究具有一定的政策含义,即通过释放农民工需求来扩大内需必需切实解决农民工持久性迁移特别是家庭持久性迁移问题。
[Abstract]:It has become a new trend for migrant workers to go out of their homes and integrate themselves into the city. But does it have an impact on the consumption of migrant workers in the places where they work? Based on the data of Chinese household income survey (CHIP2013), this paper estimates the influence of family mobility and integration intention on the urban living consumption expenditure of migrant workers by using OLS regression and quantile regression. It is found that the family mobility and the intention of integration significantly improve the consumption level of migrant workers in the city, and there is a significant interactive effect between them, and they are not affected by the level of household consumption. At the same time, the study also confirmed the persistent income hypothesis that income is the main factor affecting peasant workers' household consumption. However, there is a certain substitution effect between the consumption behavior and saving behavior of peasant workers' families and other consumption, such as living consumption and housing, but the substitution effect is not strong. The research has some policy implications, that is to say, it is necessary to effectively solve the problem of persistent migration of migrant workers, especially the persistent migration of families, to expand domestic demand by releasing the demand of migrant workers.
【作者单位】： 广东金融学院劳动经济与人力资源管理系;中国人民大学劳动人事学院;广东省社会科学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学青年项目(16YJC790107) 广东省哲学社会科学规划共建项目(GD13XYJ05) 广东省自科基金自由申请项目(2014A030310499)
【分类号】：F323.8
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本文编号：1887801