自然灾害对中国农民收入的影响分析

发布时间：2018-05-17 19:39

本文选题：自然灾害 + 农民收入　；参考：《吉林财经大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国是一个发展中的农业大国,有着数亿的农民,又是一个自然灾害多发的国家,自然灾害同农业生产之间极强的相关性,使得农业生产必然受其影响,进而影响农民收入。因此自然灾害成为影响农民收入的重要因素之一,尤其是在建设社会主义新农村的背景下,对自然灾害与农民收入之间的关系研究更是有着特别的意义。本文旨在解决的关键性问题是自然灾害具体如何影响农民收入的。本文的研究思路是首先研究我国自然灾害和农民收入的特点,其次研究自然灾害与我国农民收入的关系,最后进一步研究自然灾害究竟是如何影响农民收入的。根据农民收入主要组成部分为家庭经营性收入和工资性收入理论,在描述性统计数据研究的基础上,自然灾害对农民收入的影响分为两个方面考虑:自然灾害对家庭经营性收入的影响和自然灾害对工资性收入的影响,分析了自然灾害影响农民收入的机理。基于我国1998-2013年的时间序列数据,对自然灾害如何影响农民收入这一问题做了实证研究。首先通过灰色关联模型,对自然灾害与农民家庭经营性收入和农民工资性收入的关系进行关联分析,再运用Cobb-Douglass扩展模型分别定量分析了自然灾害与家庭型收入、工资性收入的关系及对家庭型收入、工资性收入的影响程度。系统地分析我国自然灾害因素与农民收入之间的具体影响关系,并根据所得到的结论有针对性地提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:China is a developing agricultural country with hundreds of millions of farmers and a country with frequent natural disasters. Because of the strong correlation between natural disasters and agricultural production, agricultural production is bound to be affected by it, thus affecting farmers' income. Therefore, natural disasters have become one of the important factors affecting farmers' income, especially in the context of building a new socialist countryside, the study of the relationship between natural disasters and farmers' income is of special significance. The key problem to be solved in this paper is how natural disasters affect farmers' income. The research idea of this paper is to study the characteristics of natural disasters and farmers' income in China first, and then to study the relationship between natural disasters and farmers' income, and finally to further study how natural disasters affect farmers' income. According to the theory that the main components of farmers' income are household income and wage income, on the basis of descriptive statistical data, The impact of natural disasters on farmers' income is divided into two aspects: the impact of natural disasters on household income and the impact of natural disasters on wage income, and the mechanism of natural disasters affecting farmers' income is analyzed. Based on the time series data from 1998 to 2013, this paper makes an empirical study on how natural disasters affect farmers' income. Firstly, the relationship between natural disasters and farmers' household income and peasants' wage income is analyzed by grey relational model, and then the relationship between natural disasters and household income is analyzed quantitatively by using Cobb-Douglass extended model. The relation of wage income and its influence on family income and wage income. This paper systematically analyzes the relationship between natural disaster factors and farmers' income, and puts forward some policy suggestions according to the conclusions.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.8

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