京津冀地区县域农业发展与农民收入的时空耦合特征

发布时间：2018-07-22 12:24

【摘要】：通过构建时空耦合测度模型并结合空间自相关方法,系统分析2000—2014年京津冀地区县域农业发展和农民收入的时空耦合协调特征,以期为区域农业和农村经济协调发展提供数据支撑。结果表明:①研究期间,中度耦合水平的县域占全区县域总数的98.2%以上,总体处于中度耦合水平,距离良性共振耦合尚有差距。②2000—2014年,受区域农业禀赋、经济发展基础、政策倾斜等要素的影响,县域耦合协调性不高,多数处于拮抗阶段和磨合协调阶段,时序演变具有阶段性。③县域农业发展和农民收入以滞后和同步发展类型为主;农业超前发展、农业发展和农民收入基本同步的县域数目增多,农业发展滞后的县域数目减少。其中,拮抗滞后(Ⅰ)、拮抗同步(Ⅱ)、拮抗超前(Ⅲ)、磨合滞后(Ⅳ)、磨合同步(Ⅴ)、磨合超前(Ⅵ)是主要的耦合协调发展类型。42000—2014年,县域耦合协调性的空间集聚性显著,且呈现阶段性变化。建议未来因地制宜地采取调控手段和政策,促进区域农业产业和农民收入协调发展。
[Abstract]:By constructing a spatio-temporal coupling measurement model and combining spatial autocorrelation method, this paper systematically analyzes the space-time coupling and coordination characteristics of agricultural development and farmers' income in the counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2000 to 2014. With a view to providing data support for the coordinated development of regional agriculture and rural economy. The results show that in the period of the study, the moderate coupling level accounted for more than 98.2% of the total number of counties in the whole region, and the overall level was in the medium coupling level, and there was still a gap between 2000 and 2014 from the benign resonance coupling. Due to the influence of policy inclination and other factors, the coupling and coordination of county area is not high, most of them are in the stage of antagonism and running-in coordination. The number of counties where agricultural development and farmers' income are basically synchronized increases and the number of counties lagging behind in agricultural development decreases. Among them, antagonistic lag (鈪，

本文编号：2137458