新疆农业现代化指标体系构建与评价

发布时间：2018-12-28 07:20

【摘要】：本文根据新疆农村现代化建设选取了2002年至2012年期间有关的六个一级指标,以及17个二级指标。建立新疆农业现代化体系是通过层次分析法,确定各指标的权重。通过分层加权法计算出各年的综合评价得分;研究结果表明2002年至2012年期间新疆农业现代化综合得分逐渐缓慢的上涨。通过选取2002年至2012年期间新疆各地州农村现代化的13个指标进行因子分析来测度新疆各地州的农村现代化进程,通过因子分析可知,吐鲁番地区、喀什地区、和田地区的农业现代化水平综合得分较其他州高。对于新疆农业现代化水平影响较高的为物质装备指标、农业投入指标,农业可持续发展指标的影响最少。对于新疆农业现代化的问题也提出了建议。新疆农业内部结构是反映新疆的农业现代化进程高低的另一方面,通过查找的数据可以发现新疆的农、林、牧、渔业产值从2000年至2012年均呈上升趋势,说明新疆在这10年期间农业现代化的水平有所提升,其中林业总产值于2000年至2012年呈现缓慢的增长趋势。牧业总产值在10年内除了2004年至2006年没有增长,属于停滞期,2008年至2012年呈现上涨趋势。农业总产值在10年呈现缓慢的上涨趋势,尤其在2009年至2010年间增长速度较快。新疆的渔业总产值在2002年至2012年间呈现快速的发展,相较农业、林业、牧业,渔业的发展相对较快。特别是2008年至2012年期间上涨速度较快。将全国的农业内部结构与新疆相对比可知全国的林业总产值在10年期间也呈现缓慢的增长,但是增长速度相较于新疆较快。全国的农业产值相较于新疆的农业总产值的增长速度快很多,呈现飞速的增长态势。全国渔业总产值增长属于新疆农业内部结构中增长幅度较缓慢的产业。全国的牧业总产值在十年间没有呈现稳定的态势,属于上下浮动的态势。从2010年至2012年新疆各地州的农业内部分析来看,2010年的各地州的农业产值相较于林业、牧业、渔业产值较高。其中林业产值最高的为喀什地区、和田地区;牧业产值最多的为昌吉回族自治州、喀什地区。农业产值最多的为喀什、巴音郭楞蒙古族自治州;渔业产值最多的为昌吉回族自治州、喀什地区。通过2010年新疆各地州的内部结构分析喀什地区的农林牧渔产值均较高。2011年新疆各地州的农业内部发展可知,林业产值较多的为喀什地区、巴州地区;昌吉回族自治州畜牧业发展比较好,因此牧业产值较高、喀什地区相对与新疆其他地州牧业产值也较高,农业内部结构产值的结果基本与2010年相一致。农业产值最多的为喀什地区、阿克苏地区;渔业产值最多的为昌吉回族自治州、巴音郭楞蒙古族自治州;从2011年新疆农业内部结构分析昌吉回族自治州与喀什地区的产值均较高;通过2012年新疆各地州农业内部结构分析农业、牧业、渔业、林业较为突出的均为喀什地区与昌吉回族自治州地区;
[Abstract]:According to the construction of rural modernization in Xinjiang, this paper selects six primary indexes and 17 secondary indexes from 2002 to 2012. The establishment of Xinjiang agricultural modernization system is to determine the weight of each index through the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The comprehensive evaluation scores of each year were calculated by hierarchical weighting method, and the results showed that the comprehensive score of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang increased slowly from 2002 to 2012. From 2002 to 2012, 13 indicators of rural modernization in all states of Xinjiang were selected to measure the process of rural modernization in various states of Xinjiang. Through factor analysis, we can know that Turpan region, Kashgar region, Turpan region, The comprehensive score of agricultural modernization level in Hotan area is higher than that in other states. The index of material equipment, the index of agricultural input and the index of sustainable development of agriculture have the least influence on the level of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang. Suggestions are also made for the modernization of agriculture in Xinjiang. The internal structure of agriculture in Xinjiang is another aspect that reflects the progress of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang. By looking up data, we can find that the output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fisheries in Xinjiang has been on the rise from 2000 to 2012. It is concluded that the level of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang has increased in the past 10 years, and the total output value of forestry showed a slow growth trend from 2000 to 2012. The gross output value of animal husbandry in 10 years except 2004-2006 no growth, is stasis, 2008-2012 showed an upward trend. Agricultural output showed a slow upward trend in a decade, especially between 2009 and 2010. The gross output value of fishery in Xinjiang developed rapidly from 2002 to 2012, which was faster than that of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery. In particular, between 2008 and 2012, the rate of increase was relatively rapid. Comparing the internal structure of agriculture in China with that of Xinjiang, it can be seen that the total output value of forestry in the whole country also shows a slow growth in the period of 10 years, but the growth rate is faster than that in Xinjiang. Compared with Xinjiang's agricultural output value, the national agricultural output value increases much faster, showing a rapid growth trend. The national fishery gross output value growth belongs to the Xinjiang agriculture internal structure to increase the scope to be slower the industry. The country's gross animal husbandry output value in ten years did not show a stable trend, belong to the upward and downward floating trend. From 2010 to 2012, the agricultural output value of all the states in Xinjiang is higher than that of forestry and animal husbandry. The forestry output value is the highest in Kashi area and Hotan area, and the animal husbandry output value is the largest in Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Kashi region. The largest agricultural output value is Kashi, Bayinguleng Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture, and the largest fishery output value is Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Kashi region. According to the analysis of the internal structure of all the states in Xinjiang in 2010, the output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery in Kashi region is higher. In 2011, the agricultural internal development of all the states in Xinjiang shows that the forestry output value is mostly in Kashi region and Bazhou region. The animal husbandry of Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture develops well, so the output value of animal husbandry is high, and the output value of animal husbandry in Kashi region is higher than that in other regions of Xinjiang, and the result of output value of agricultural internal structure is basically consistent with that of 2010. The largest agricultural output value is Kashi area, Aksu region, the largest fishery output value is Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Bayinguleng Mongolian Autonomous Prefecture; The output value of Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture and Kashi region is higher than that of Xinjiang in 2011. Based on the analysis of the internal structure of agriculture in all regions of Xinjiang in 2012, the areas of agriculture, animal husbandry, fishery and forestry are all outstanding in Kashi region and Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture.
【学位授予单位】：新疆财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F327

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