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基于改进的灰色关联综合评价法的土地利用总体规划实施评价研究

发布时间:2019-06-28 12:25
【摘要】:当前我国社会经济的迅速发展以及工业化、城市化进程的快速推进,必将伴随着资源环境的不断恶化和人地关系的不协调问题。土地利用总体规划作为解决这些问题的重要的宏观调控手段,它的作用越来越得到凸显,受到重视。因而如何对土地利用总体规划的实施情况进行评价,逐渐成为当前一个重要的研究课题。土地利用总体规划实施评价主要是围绕评价指标体系的建立、评价模型的选择等方面开展研究。主要的目的是为规划的调整和修编提供科学依据,为规划的实施提供科学管理。所以,亟需对土地利用总体规划实施评价进行研究,从而进一步完善土地利用规划方面相关的理论和方法。本文在对土地用总体规划实施评价进行系统分析的基础上,通过对比分析国内外相关专家的研究成果,并结合专家咨询法,来构建规划实施评价指标体系模型。本文采用层次分析法和灰色关联度法相结合的方法,即改进的灰色关联度法,对规划实施情况进行评价。首先采用专家咨询法和层次分析法来确定评价指标的权重。其次通过灰色关联分析法计算各个指标的关联系数,然后将关联系数与指标权重进行相乘,从而得到各指标间的单层次关联度。最后依据关联度排序的大小,来对规划实施情况开展评价工作。本文以潘家湾镇为研究样区,利用潘家湾镇2009-2012年的土地利用变更数据和社会经济数据,基于建立的土地利用总体规划实施评价指标体系来对潘家湾镇土地利用总体规划实施情况开展评价工作。随后对土地利用总体规划实施评价指标进行量化,来科学的评价规划的实施效果。结果得出潘家湾镇土地利用总体规划实施情况基本处于平稳发展状态。最后深入的分析潘家湾镇土地利用总体规划实施中存在的问题,并提出相应对策,以期为日后规划的实施以及规划的调整和修编提供重要的参考依据。
[Abstract]:At present, the rapid development of social economy and industrialization and the rapid progress of urbanization in our country will be accompanied by the continuous deterioration of resources and environment and the disharmony of man-land relationship. As an important means of macro-control to solve these problems, land use master planning plays a more and more important role and has been paid more and more attention. Therefore, how to evaluate the implementation of land use master plan has gradually become an important research topic. The implementation evaluation of land use master planning mainly focuses on the establishment of evaluation index system and the selection of evaluation model. The main purpose is to provide scientific basis for the adjustment and revision of planning, and to provide scientific management for the implementation of planning. Therefore, it is urgent to study the implementation evaluation of land use planning, so as to further improve the related theories and methods of land use planning. Based on the systematic analysis of the implementation evaluation of land use master planning, this paper constructs the evaluation index system model of planning implementation by comparing and analyzing the research results of relevant experts at home and abroad, and combining with the expert consultation method. This paper uses the method of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey correlation degree method, that is, the improved grey correlation degree method, to evaluate the implementation of planning. Firstly, the expert consultation method and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) are used to determine the weight of the evaluation index. Secondly, the correlation coefficient of each index is calculated by grey correlation analysis, and then the correlation coefficient is multiplied with the index weight, so as to obtain the single-level correlation degree among each index. Finally, according to the order of correlation degree, the evaluation of planning implementation is carried out. Taking Panjiawan Town as the research sample area, this paper makes use of the land use change data and socio-economic data of Panjiawan Town from 2009 to 2012, and evaluates the implementation of Panjiawan Town Land use Master Plan based on the established evaluation index system of land use master planning. Then the evaluation index of land use master plan is quantified to evaluate the implementation effect of land use master plan scientifically. The results show that the implementation of the overall land use planning in Panjiawan Town is basically in a steady state of development. Finally, the problems existing in the implementation of the overall land use planning in Panjiawan Town are deeply analyzed, and the corresponding countermeasures are put forward in order to provide an important reference for the implementation of the planning and the adjustment and revision of the plan in the future.
【学位授予单位】:华中师范大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F301.2

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