巴基斯坦信德省农场适应农业风险和收入多样化战略的实证评估

发布时间：2021-06-14 19:56

　　同其他经济活动一样,全球的农业部门也面临着多重风险。农业风险主要包括技术风险,政策风险,生产风险,市场风险,人力资源风险和信用风险,然而自然风险也阻碍了高回报率。因此,农业风险很可能会使一个国家的经济增长放缓,这将很容易增加一个地区的贫困水平。立足于这个亟待解决的问题,为确定巴基斯坦信德省农民所面临的各种农业风险而导致的农场适应和收入多样化战略,开展了一项研究。为此,对农民的风险行为和应对可能相关风险的策略,以及与社会经济属性,感知风险来源和应对策略的关联性进行了分析。本研究还分析了:i)风险认知,ii)环境风险认知,iii)收入多样化战略,iv)管理灾害风险的多元化战略,以及v)管理灾害风险的多种工具。为实现研究目标,在巴基斯坦信德省,根据定量参数开展了一项调查,采用有效可靠的多阶段集群方法,对来自印度河左岸8个区的480名受访者/农民进行了问卷采样。继而,使用两个软件如SPSS和AMOS估计结果并开发结构方程模型。研究结果显示,当地农民正在根据自己的能力处理各种风险。因此,风险矩阵和ELCE（等可能性确定当量）方法被用于确定农民的风险态度。使用二元logistic回归模型评估影响农... 

【文章来源】：华中农业大学湖北省 211工程院校 教育部直属院校

【文章页数】：192 页

【学位级别】：博士

【文章目录】：
Acknowledgement
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
Abstract
摘要
Chapter-1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background
    1.2 Agriculture in Pakistan
    1.3 Disaster Risks in Pakistan
    1.4 Disasters and Agricultural Sector of Pakistan
    1.5 Problem statement
    1.6 Research Questions
    1.7 Purpose and importance of the study
    1.8 Hypothesis of the Study
    1.9 Innovations and Limitations
Chapter-2 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
    2.1 The Concept of Risk and Uncertainty in Agriculture
    2.2 Risk Sources in Agriculture
        2.2.1 Risk perceptions
        2.2.2 Risk attitudes
    2.3 Risk Management Strategies
        2.3.1 Ex-ante Strategies (Pre-realization of an incident)
        2.3.2 Ex-post Risk Strategies
        2.3.3 Business Risk
        2.3.4 Production Risk
        2.3.5 Marketing Risk
        2.3.6 Financial risk
    2.4 Risk Management Decisions and Influencing Factors
        2.4.1 Risk Perception and Risk Attitude
        2.4.2 Farm and Farm Household Attributes
        2.4.3 Access to Information and Credit
    2.5 Off-farm Work and Non-Farm Income
        2.5.1 Definition and Importance
        2.5.2 Rural non-farm economy
        2.5.3 Off-Farm Income Diversification and Contribution in Total Income
        2.5.4 Off-farm Work,Agricultural Productivity and Risk
        2.5.5 Off-farm Employment
        2.5.6 Agriculture and Credit
    2.6 Literature Gap
Chapter-3 MATERIALS AND METHODS
    3.1 Description of Study area,Sampling Strategy and Data collection
    3.2 Adaptive capacity
    3.3 Farm-Level Adaptation Model
    3.4 Conceptual Framework/Model
    3.5 Empirical Estimation and Model Description
Chapter-4 FARMERS' PERCEPTIONS OF RISK SOURCES AND RISK COPINGSTRATEGIES IN PAKISTAN
    4.1 Introduction
    4.2 Materials and Methods
    4.3 Results and Discussion
    4.4 Conclusion
Chapter-5 FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS ENVIRONMENTAL RISK PERCEPTIONS INSINDH,PAKISTAN
    5.1 Introduction
    5.2 Materials and Methods
    5.3 Model and conceptual framework of risk perceptions
    5.4 Results and Discussion
    5.5 Conclusion
Chapter-6 DETERMINANTS FOR INCOME DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGIES USED BYFARM HOUSEHOLDS
    6.1 Introduction
    6.2 Materials and methods
    6.3 Result and Discussion
    6.4 Conclusion
Chapter-7 SIMULTANEOUS ADOPTION OF RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES USEDBY FARMERS FOR MANAGING DISASTERS
    7.1 Introduction
    7.2 Materials and methods
    7.3 Results and Discussion
    7.4 Conclusion
Chapter-8 CONCURRENT USE OF MULTIPLE TOOLS FOR MANAGING CATASTROPHICRISK AT FARM LEVEL
    8.1 Introduction
    8.2 Material and Methods
    8.3 Results and Discussion
    8.4 Conclusion
Chapter-9 SUMMARY,CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    9.1 Summary
    9.2 Conclusion
    9.3 Recommendations
    9.4 Future prospects
References
Appendix-Ⅰ Questionnaire
List of Publications
Some Clicks of Survey


【参考文献】：
期刊论文
[1]Factors influencing hybrid maize farmers’ risk attitudes and their perceptions in Punjab Province,Pakistan[J]. Shoaib Akhtar,LI Gu-cheng,Raza Ullah,Adnan Nazir,Muhammad Amjed Iqbal,Muhammad Haseeb Raza,Nadeem Iqbal,Muhammad Faisal.  Journal of Integrative Agriculture. 2018(06)



本文编号：3230227