中印产业竞争力与FTA攻防策略探讨

发布时间：2018-01-17 19:35

本文关键词：中印产业竞争力与FTA攻防策略探讨　出处：《福州大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自上世纪90年代以来,全球多边贸易谈判进展缓慢、困难重重,许多国家纷纷签订区域自由贸易协定,依靠这种方式来实现贸易和投资自由化,以期最大限度地分享全球经济增长的红利。在此背景下,区域贸易协定的数量急剧增加,目前已经在WTO备案并且生效的区域贸易协定(Regional Trade Agreements,简称RTA)多达258个,WTO大部分成员国都已加入一个或多个区域贸易协定。而自由贸易区(Free Trade Agreements,简称FTA)由于其灵活性和主动性等优点,已成为目前区域经济合作的主要方式。据WTO统计,截至2013年12月,已经生效的FTA数量多达217个,占全部RTA数量的84%。中国与印度作为世界上最大的发展中国家以及金砖国家成员,各自拥有超过10亿人口的巨大市场,且均地处亚洲,毗邻而居。目前,两国的经贸都处在高速发展的阶段,组建中印FTA有利于促进双方经济的进一步发展。与此同时,中印两国政府对于加强经贸合作的愿望也越来越强。早在2007年10月,中印两国就已完成了中国-印度区域贸易安排(RTA)联合可行性研究。2010年的《中华人民共和国和印度共和国联合公报》促成中印战略经济对话机制的建成。2013年,国务院总理李克强与印度总理辛格分别在5月和10月进行了互访,这是自1954年以来两国总理首次年内互访,这说明了中印两国关系正在不断提速。然而,贸易自由化从来就是一把双刃剑,中印自贸区在给两国带来发展和机遇的同时,也必然将冲击国内一些原本处于劣势的产业。两国的经济存在竞争性,这使得印度对于现阶段双边贸易中的不均衡问题耿耿于怀。中印贸易不均衡的主要原因在于贸易结构的不合理,而中印产业竞争力的差异决定了现阶段中印贸易的产业结构。为此,本文从中印产业竞争力入手,并在最后尝试对中印自贸区建设的攻防策略进行探讨。具体的研究思路为：(1)梳理产业竞争力和中印自贸区建设的相关理论和研究成果,为全文奠定论理论基础；(2)对中印现阶段的经济和贸易发展状况进行分析,并指出中印贸易中的不均衡问题；(3)运用贸易引力模型对中印建立FTA的贸易扩大效应进行估算；(4)对中印货物贸易的产业竞争力进行比较分析；(5)对中印服务贸易的产业竞争力进行比较分析；(6)基于前文的实证结果,尝试提出我国在中印自贸区建设过程中的攻防策略。
[Abstract]:Since the last century since 90s, the progress of global multilateral trade negotiations is slow, difficult, many countries have signed a regional free trade agreement, rely on this way to realize the liberalization of trade and investment, dividends in order to maximize the share of global economic growth. Under this background, a sharp increase in the number of regional trade agreements, regional trade agreements currently has been registered in WTO (Regional Trade and effective Agreements, referred to as RTA) up to 258 WTO, most of the members have joined one or more regional trade agreements and free trade zone (Free Trade Agreements, referred to as FTA) due to its advantages of flexibility and initiative, has become the main way of regional economic cooperation at present. According to WTO statistics, as of December 2013, the number of FTA has come up to 217, the total number of RTA 84%. Chinese and India as the world's largest developing Chinese And a member of the BRIC countries, the market has a huge population of more than 1 billion, and are located in Asia, neighbors. At present, and trade between the two countries are in the stage of rapid development, the formation of India FTA is conducive to promoting the further development of bilateral economy. At the same time, China's two governments and to strengthen economic and trade cooperation more desire strong. As early as October 2007, China and India have completed the China - India regional trade arrangement (RTA) joint feasibility study in.2010 < People's Republic of China and Republic of India Joint Communique "contributed to the China India strategic economic dialogue mechanism built in.2013, Premier Li Keqiang and Prime Minister Singer of India respectively in May and October for visits, this is since 1954, the prime ministers of the two countries for the first time visits during the year, the relations between the two countries is constantly speed. However, trade liberalization has been a double-edged Sword, India in the FTA between the two countries to bring development opportunities at the same time, it will inevitably impact on the domestic industry. Some of the original disadvantage of the two economies are competitive, which makes India the problem of unbalanced stage in the bilateral trade. The main reason is not brood on Sino Indian trade balance in trade structure unreasonable. The difference of the industrial competitiveness of China and India decided the current industrial structure of Sino Indian trade. Therefore, this paper starts from the industrial competitiveness of China and India, and carries on the discussion in the last attempt of China India FTA construction strategies. The specific research ideas are as follows: (1) the relevant theory and Research on industrial competitiveness and China India FTA construction, for the full text lay the theory basis; (2) on the Sino Indian Economic and trade development present situation analysis, and pointed out that the imbalance in bilateral trade; (3) the use of To estimate the trade expansion effect of FTA on Sino Indian trade gravity model; (4) on the Sino Indian trade in goods industry competitiveness comparative analysis; (5) to the service trade between China and India industrial competitiveness comparative analysis; (6) based on the above empirical results, try to put forward in China in the process of China India FTA construction strategies.

【学位授予单位】：福州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7;F753.51

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