区域间总产出波动相互影响的网络模型

发布时间：2018-01-20 02:53

本文关键词： 总产出波动区域间产业网络区域赋权影响网络　出处：《系统工程理论与实践》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：国家(地区)间总产出波动存在相互影响是全球化时代的普遍现象,但缺少其相互影响强度的定量研究.基于冲击在非对称的区域间产业网络上的传播,分析了区域间总产出波动相互影响的机理,并依据区域间产品关联,构建了以区域为节点的度量区域间总产出波动相互影响的区域赋权影响网络.通过对网络度关联结构、基础关联结构、核关联结构及非对称结构四个维度的分析,定量描述了区域间总产出波动相互影响的强度.实例分析表明,该模型及相关度量维度能够量化不同区域间总产出波动的相互影响,定量描述某个国家(地区)在多区域经济大系统中的作用,在区域经济合作、贸易规则制定以及全球价值链构建等方面具有重要的理论和实际意义.
[Abstract]:The interaction of total output fluctuations among countries (regions) is a common phenomenon in the era of globalization, but there is no quantitative study on the intensity of interaction. Based on the transmission of shocks in asymmetric interregional industrial networks. The interaction mechanism of the total output fluctuation between regions is analyzed, and the relationship between the products between regions is analyzed. The regional weighting influence network which measures the interaction of the total output fluctuation between regions is constructed based on the region as the node. Through the network degree correlation structure, the basic correlation structure is established. By analyzing the four dimensions of nuclear correlation structure and asymmetric structure, the paper quantitatively describes the intensity of the interaction of the total output fluctuation between regions. The model and the related measurement dimension can quantify the interaction of the total output fluctuations between different regions, and quantitatively describe the role of a country (region) in the multi-regional economic system and regional economic cooperation. The establishment of trade rules and the construction of global value chain have important theoretical and practical significance.
【作者单位】：山东大学管理学院;山东行政学院经济学部;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(71371108) 国家社会科学基金重点项目(16AZD009)~~
【分类号】：F113
【正文快照】： 在全球化时代,经济波动可能会跨越地域边界,从一国(地区)传播到其他国家(地区),从而使得国家(地1引言区)间经济波动产生相互影响.2008年以来的美国经济危机引发了全球性经济波动,至今全球经济仍处于后危机时代.实际上,20世纪90年代以来发生的多次经济危机也具有这一特征,即

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