长江经济带物流与区域经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-20 11:49

本文关键词： 长江经济带物流与区域经济增长关系格兰杰因果检验 Logistic模型　出处：《华东师范大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在社会分工不断深化和经济全球化加快推进的过程中,物流被认为是一种先进的管理技术和组织方式,其战略地位在区域经济一体化发展中越来越被社会各界重视,并成为推动地区经济发展的关键要素,物流与区域经济增长间的相互关系逐步成为区域经济研究的重要方面。国家转向依靠内需拉动的经济发展政策的推动、西部大开发政策的深化、中部崛起战略的实施、泛长三角分工合作的加快推进以及“长江中国经济新支撑带”概念的提出、各地区自主创新和综合配套改革试验地的加速建设,尤其是各种国家级城市带承接产业转移示范区的建立,使得长江经济带各地区经济发展迎来新的机遇,同时也给长江经济带各省市物流的发展带来了难得的历史机遇。在之前国内外学者研究的基础上,本文根据区域经济理论和物流理论,以国内生产总值作为衡量长江经济带及各省市地区的经济发展指标,以货物周转量为衡量区域物流发展水平的指标,根据长江经济带物流与经济增长的实际状况先对它们之间的相互作用关系进行了定性分析；用Logistic函数模型定量分析二者间的关系,并最后提出了长江经济带各地区发展物流的相关政策,希望能为地区政府制定相关政策和规划提供参考。通过对长江经济带物流与经济增长关系的研究,本文初步得出以下几点结论：(1)定性研究发现,长江经济带物流与区域经济增长之间存在着互相促进、共同发展的明显关系。(2)从长江经济带物流与区域经济增长的格兰杰因果关系检验结果发现物流是地区经济增长的格兰杰原因,而区域经济增长不是物流发展的格兰杰原因,说明长江经济带物流与区域经济发展的关系并不是很协调。(3)通过Logistic函数模型的研究表明,长江经济带物流对区域经济增长表现出了一定的促进作用,但不同地区物流基础设施和服务水平的差异使其对经济增长的推动并不相同,长江经济带下游地区物流与经济增长的关系较为协调,其它地区次之。
[Abstract]:In the process of deepening social division and accelerating the globalization of economy , logistics is regarded as an advanced management technology and organization mode . Its strategic position is more and more important in the development of regional economic integration , and has become the key factor to promote regional economic development , and the relationship between logistics and regional economic growth has gradually become an important aspect of regional economic research . The country turns to the promotion of the domestic demand - driven economic development policy , the deepening of the western development policy , the implementation of the middle - rise strategy , the acceleration of the Pan - Yangtze River Delta and the accelerating construction of the " new supporting zone of the Yangtze River " , especially the establishment of the national level city zone undertaking industrial transfer demonstration area , which brings new opportunities for the development of the economic development of the Yangtze River economic zone , and brings a rare historical opportunity to the development of the logistics of the Yangtze River economic zone . Based on the previous domestic and foreign scholars ' research , according to the regional economic theory and logistics theory , based on the regional economic theory and the logistics theory , the paper takes the gross domestic product as the index to measure the development level of regional logistics . Based on the real situation of logistics and economic growth of the Yangtze River Economic Belt , the relations between them are qualitatively analyzed . Through the research on the relationship between the logistics and economic growth of the Yangtze River Economic Belt , the following conclusions are drawn : ( 1 ) The qualitative research shows that the logistics of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the regional economic growth have mutual promotion and common development .

【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F259.27

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