多尺度视域下资源诅咒效应研究
本文关键词: 多尺度 资源诅咒 资源依赖度 经济发展水平 出处:《东北师范大学》2017年博士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:自然资源与经济发展之间的关系是一个古老而经典的话题。自然资源作为较为基础性生产要素,在区域经济发展过程中通常起到巨大的支持作用。在全球经济一体化的今天,世界范围内的一些经济强国如美国、加拿大、新西兰、挪威、澳大利亚等国能够通过获利能力较强的产业链将自然资源转化为生产力,促进了这些国家的经济繁荣,而这种资源禀赋对经济发展促进的现象通常被称为“资源祝福”。然而,另有亚、非、拉美一些资源较为丰裕的国家尽管拥有丰裕的自然资源但并没有为这些国家带来经济的飞跃,反而出现了抑制经济增长的现象,这一现象常被称为“资源诅咒”。论文以资源依赖强度与经济发展之间的关系,即是否形成资源诅咒效应为主线展开论述。对世界范围的金砖五国、中国31个省、黑龙江省12个地级市三个地域尺度进行实证研究,分别揭示了世界范围金砖五国资源诅咒效应以及各国资源诅咒深度、国内31个省的资源依赖度与经济发展水平的时空分异及资源诅咒实证、黑龙江省12个地级市资源诅咒效应及其传导机制。文章最后以国内经济体制和制度为背景,提出了中国在新时期规避资源诅咒实现可持续发展的合理对策和路径。论文的主要内容如下:第一章介绍了论文研究的背景并阐明了研究意义。揭示了该问题研究的重要性,通过国内外对于资源诅咒问题质疑、测度、规避等方面的研究成果梳理,展示了经济学及社会学对于资源诅咒问题的研究策略和方法,并以此为基础提出了地理学对于资源诅咒的研究目的及趋向。第二章主要介绍了与资源诅咒研究过程中相关的基础理论,并对论文研究中所出现概念进行了界定。其中资源依赖度与资源丰裕度虽然在经济学界一直有争议,但是鉴于部分学者已经厘清二者关系,因此本文主要选择资源依赖度作为验证资源诅咒的指标,阐述资源依赖度与经济发展的关系,进而进行深度的探索。第三章主要从世界范围内选择较为有代表性的金砖五国进行资源诅咒效应实证。考量结果显示,资源诅咒效应的存在在世界范围较为普遍,金砖五国虽然资源异质性较为明显,然而从整体来看确实也存在资源与经济发展的不协调状态。而后,采用中科院国家健康研究小组对于世界范围内100个国家资源诅咒效应的实证结果对于金砖国家资源诅咒深度进行排序,金砖国家资源诅咒深度排序(深度由强至弱)结果为:俄罗斯南非印度巴西中国。第四章从中国31个省的宏观尺度来进行研究,鉴于经济学界目前已经对省际范围的资源诅咒效应进行过多次地实证,因此,笔者主要分析各省资源依赖度的空间集聚效应以及经济重心的移动。之后,对各省资源依赖度与经济发展水平关系进行再考量,并采用资源诅咒系数这一指标揭示各省资源诅咒的程度。研究结论显示,资源诅咒效应在我国省际范围内存在。各省资源诅咒效应不同,资源诅咒程度较深的省份有山西省、青海省、新疆维吾尔族自治区、黑龙江省、陕西省。第五章承接前文的论证,选择黑龙江省作为进一步实证考察对象。选择这一研究对象的原因有二:首先,以黑龙江省为实证研究对象,目前国内的研究较少涉及,仅有部分研究对东北地区的资源型城市资源诅咒现象有所提及。其次,从目前的国内经济发展来看,准确分析黑龙江省资源与经济关系对于合理引导本省资源型城市转型与发展意义重大。笔者通过面板数据模型分析黑龙江省各地级市1999~2013年影响经济发展的各项指标数据,发现黑龙江省资源依赖强度对经济发展水平形成了负效应,制造业投资水平对经济增长具有负影响,物质资本投资及人力资本投资对经济增长起到了促进作用。笔者从这一现象入手进一步分析了黑龙江省资源诅咒的传导机制。综合前几章的研究可以发现,在分析多尺度研究范围中,仍然能够证实资源诅咒效应的存在性,即资源诅咒效应的发生具有一定的普遍性,当某一地区或一定范围的资源、经济、社会生产关系具备相应的条件时,资源与经济的负相关现象是广泛存在的。因此,文章的第六章主要以国内的经济和社会状况为背景,对国内资源诅咒效应的规避提出了相应的对策。
[Abstract]:The relationship between natural resources and economic development is an ancient and classic topic. Natural resources as a basic factor of production, often played a huge support role in the process of regional economic development. In today's global economic integration, the world's economic powers such as the United States, Canada, New Zealand, Norway, Australia other countries can through the strong profitability of the industry chain will natural resources into productive forces, promote the economic prosperity of the country, and this kind of resource endowment on economic development to promote the phenomenon is often referred to as "resource blessing". However, another sub, non, some Latin American countries even more affluent resources with abundant natural resources but did not bring the economic development of these countries, but appeared to inhibit economic growth phenomenon, this phenomenon is often referred to as the "resource curse". Based on the information The source of the dependence between strength and economic development, whether the formation of the resource curse effect is discussed as the main line. The range of the world BRICs, 31 provinces Chinese, makes an empirical study of 12 prefecture level cities in Heilongjiang Province three regional scale, respectively reveals the world the five BRICs countries resource curse effect as well as the resource curse depth. The 31 domestic resource dependence and differentiation of economic development level and resource curse empirical, 12 prefecture level city in Heilongjiang province resource curse effect and its transmission mechanism. Finally, taking the domestic economic system as the background, puts forward the reasonable countermeasures and path Chinese in the new period to avoid resource curse mainly to achieve sustainable development. The contents of this paper are as follows: the first chapter introduces the research background and research significance is clarified. Reveals the importance of the research, through the domestic and foreign capital for The source measure, avoid the curse of doubt, and other aspects of the research results presented combing, economics and sociology to study the strategies and methods of resource curse problem, then puts forward the research purpose of geography and the resource curse and trend. The second chapter mainly introduces the resource curse and the related basic theory research, and the concept of the thesis defines. The resource dependence and resource abundance while economists have been controversial, but in view of the fact that some scholars have to clarify the relationship between the two, so we should choose the main resources dependence as verification of resource curse index, illustrates the relationship between resource dependence and economic development, and exploration the depth. The third chapter mainly selected from the world is representative of the BRICs resource curse effect. Considering the empirical results show that capital Source curse effect exists in the world, although the BRICs resource heterogeneity is obvious, however, from the overall coordination state is also has the resources and economic development. Then, the Chinese national health research group positive for 100 countries worldwide resource curse effect results in resource curse depth of the BRIC countries the resource curse sort, BRICs depth ordering (depth from strong to weak) results: Russia India South Africa Brazil Chinese. The fourth chapter from the macro scale of 31 provinces Chinese to study, in view of economics has been on the inter provincial scope of the resource curse effect conducted several empirical, therefore, the author mainly analysis the resources of mobile the dependency of spatial agglomeration effect and economic center. After that, the provinces resources dependence degree and the level of economic development in the test again The amount of resources, and using this index coefficient reveals the resource curse curse provinces. The conclusion of the study shows that the resource curse effect exists in the provincial scope in our country. The resource curse effect, resource curse the deeper level of the provinces of Shanxi Province, Qinghai Province, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Heilongjiang Province, Shaanxi province. The fifth chapter above discussion, choose Heilongjiang Province as a further empirical study object. The reason for choosing this research object has two: first, taking Heilongjiang Province as the research object, the current domestic research less involved, only part of research in the northeast region of the resource-based city resource curse phenomenon has been mentioned. Secondly, from at present, the domestic economic development, the accurate analysis of Heilongjiang province resources and economic relations for a reasonable guide the resource-based city transformation and development of great significance. The author through panel data model The data type analysis of influence of economic development around the city of 1999~2013 in Heilongjiang Province, Heilongjiang Province found that resource dependence strength formed a negative effect on the level of economic development, the manufacturing level of investment has a negative impact on economic growth, investment in physical capital and human capital investment to promote economic growth. The author starts from the a further analysis of the conduction mechanism of Heilongjiang province resource curse. The research on the previous chapters can be found in the multi-scale analysis in the study area, can still exist that resource curse effect, namely the occurrence of resource curse effect has a certain universality, when a certain area or a range of resources, economy. The social relations of production have corresponding conditions, negative correlation between resources and economic phenomenon is widespread. Therefore, the sixth chapter mainly in the domestic economy and society The situation is the background, and the corresponding countermeasures are put forward to avoid the evasion of the domestic resource curse effect.
【学位授予单位】:东北师范大学
【学位级别】:博士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F205
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