旅游业对西藏经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-02-15 04:24

本文关键词： 旅游业经济增长负面效应地区差异　出处：《西藏大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：旅游业在区域经济中的贡献度越来越高,28个省、市、区在制定十二五发展规划时把旅游业定位为新的经济增长点或战略性支撑产业。西藏自治区在近年来的发展规划中给予了旅游业很大的期望。“十一五”期间将其定位为支柱产业;“十二五”期间又把旅游业定位为战略支撑产业。在“十三五”旅游发展规划中,又提出实现旅游业进一步富民强区的新愿景。2015年西藏全区接待旅游人数突破两千万次,旅游总收入达280亿元。旅游业对西藏经济增长的贡献越来越大,在带动就业,创汇,增加财政收入,带动相关产业的发展方面的作用越来越重要。基于以上背景,本文在结合国内外文献及旅游经济相关理论的基础上,探讨旅游业对西藏经济增长的影响,研究内容有:(1)梳理旅游业对经济增长的影响的理论。(2)分析旅游业对西藏经济增长的影响,包括对西藏旅游发展历程的描述;对西藏旅游业的收入效应、就业效应、投资效应,挤出效应、通胀效应统计学分析;西藏七地区旅游业贡献的差异性描述分析。(3)以西藏地区GDP作为被解释变量,基于西藏七个地区2001-2015年的资本、劳动、旅游业的面板数据,构建包含旅游业的数据模型,分析了旅游业对西藏经济增长的影响。本研究得出的主要结论有:(1)旅游业促进西藏经济的增长,但作用有限;(2)旅游业对西藏经济增长的作用具有明显的地区差异;(3)西藏旅游业的发展过程中存在通货膨胀,挤出其他行业,旅游收入漏损等负面效应,没有很好的兼顾其他行业的发展;(4)旅游业门票收入高,使旅游业的乘数效应大幅降低。(5)固定资本投入对西藏经济的推动作用显著;(6)劳动力投入对西藏经济增长的贡献率较低。最后基于理论和实证分析,本研究提出了以下的对策建议:(1)注重西藏各地市之间的配合,加强区域间旅游合作;(2)警惕旅游业的负面风险,合理认识旅游业对经济增长的影响;(3)注重西藏各地市之间的配合,加强区域旅游合作;(4)增加旅游产品附加值,走创新型、集约型的旅游发展道路;(5)提升西藏经济水平,优化产业结构,让旅游业与经济增长互相促进。
[Abstract]:Tourism is contributing more and more to the regional economy, with 28 provinces and cities, In formulating the 12th Five-Year Plan, the region positioned tourism as a new economic growth point or strategic support industry. The Tibet Autonomous region has given the tourism industry great expectations in recent years. Positioning as a pillar industry; during the 12th Five-Year Plan, tourism was also positioned as a strategic support industry. In the 13th Five-Year Plan for Tourism Development, In 2015, the whole Tibet region received more tourists than 20 million times, and the total tourist income reached 28 billion yuan. Tourism is contributing more and more to Tibet's economic growth, driving employment and earning foreign exchange. It is more and more important to increase fiscal revenue and promote the development of related industries. Based on the above background, this paper discusses the impact of tourism on the economic growth of Tibet on the basis of domestic and foreign literature and related theories of tourism economy. The contents of the study are: (1) combing the influence of tourism on economic growth. (2) analyzing the impact of tourism on Tibet's economic growth, including the description of the development of tourism in Tibet; the income, employment, and investment effects of tourism in Tibet. Statistical analysis of crowding out effect, inflation effect, difference description analysis of tourism contribution in seven regions of Tibet.) based on the panel data of capital, labor and tourism in seven regions of Tibet from 2001 to 2015, taking GDP in Tibet as the explanatory variable, A data model including tourism is constructed to analyze the impact of tourism on Tibet's economic growth. The main conclusions of this study are: 1) Tourism promotes the growth of Tibet's economy. However, the role of tourism is limited. (2) there are significant regional differences in the role of tourism in Tibet's economic growth. (3) there are negative effects in the development of tourism in Tibet, such as inflation, crowding out other industries, leakage of tourism income, etc. No good consideration for the development of other industries. 4) the tourism industry has a high ticket income. The multiplier effect of tourism industry is greatly reduced. (5) the contribution of fixed capital investment to Tibet's economy is significant. (6) the contribution of labor input to Tibet's economic growth is relatively low. Finally, based on theoretical and empirical analysis, This study puts forward the following countermeasures and suggestions: 1) pay attention to the coordination among various cities and cities in Tibet, strengthen interregional tourism cooperation) be alert to the negative risks of tourism, and reasonably understand the impact of tourism on economic growth.) pay attention to the coordination among various cities and cities in Tibet. (4) strengthening regional tourism cooperation) increasing the added value of tourism products, taking an innovative and intensive road of tourism development, improving the economic level of Tibet, optimizing the industrial structure, and making tourism and economic growth mutually promote each other.
【学位授予单位】：西藏大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127;F592.7

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