中国区域经济收敛性的再估计——基于技术溢出的空间动态面板数据模型

发布时间：2018-03-13 12:23

本文选题：经济收敛　切入点：技术溢出效应　出处：《科技管理研究》2015年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：利用空间动态面板数据模型,对1952-2011年中国大陆30个省级区域的经济收敛性进行估计。结果显示,中国地区间经济在1952-2011,1952-1978,1979-2011这三个时间段中都呈现收敛态势,但改革开放之后在"让一部分人先富起来"的政策影响下收敛速度有所放缓。俱乐部收敛的回归结果表明,改革开放前我国东、中、西部三大区域经济存在俱乐部收敛;改革开放后,中部和东部之间的俱乐部收敛已经消失,但西部没有能够融入到东、中部经济增长的总趋势中,还需采取切实可行的措施进一步加大西部开发力度。
[Abstract]:Based on the spatial dynamic panel data model, the economic convergence of 30 provincial regions in mainland China from 1952 to 2011 is estimated. The results show that the regional economy in China showed convergence trend in the three periods of 1952-2011 and 1952-1978-1979-2011. But after the reform and opening up, under the influence of the policy of "let some people get rich first", the convergence rate of the club has slowed down. The regression result of club convergence shows that before the reform and opening up, the three regional economies of east, middle and west of our country have club convergence; After the reform and opening up, the club convergence between the central and eastern regions has disappeared, but the western region has not been integrated into the east. In the general trend of economic growth in the central region, practical measures should be taken to further strengthen the development of the western region.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学;深圳市社会科学院;
【基金】：上海财经大学研究生教育创新计划项目“我国地区经济收敛——变化权重矩阵的空间动态面板模型”(CXJJ-2011-412)
【分类号】：F127

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