特朗普时期的亚洲经济:挑战与变数

发布时间：2018-03-16 00:34

  本文选题：犹太—基督文明　切入点：美国优先　出处：《人民论坛·学术前沿》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：特朗普执政将引发美国经济政策、对外政策做出重大变革。这种政策变革的基本方向将体现为"美国优先"与"美国再次强大",其背后的价值理念是重建以犹太—基督文明为基础的开明资本主义模式。具体到对外经济政策上将表现为以反全球化为突出特色。这可能会给亚洲新兴经济体带来重大冲击,诸如美元升值周期所引发的债务风险,区域内全球价值链受到扰乱的风险,出口导向型模式难以持续的风险,亚洲区域经济一体化进程发生逆转的风险,等等。对此,亚洲新兴经济体必须未雨绸缪,从培育最终消费市场到建立新型区域经济合作机制,探索适应新国际环境的发展模式。
[Abstract]:Trump's administration will trigger economic policy in the United States. The basic direction of this policy change will be "America first" and "America is strong again", with the value behind it being to rebuild enlightened capitalism based on Jewish-Christian civilization. In terms of foreign economic policy, it will be marked by anti-globalization. This could have a major impact on emerging economies in Asia. Such as debt risks arising from the dollar appreciation cycle, risks of disruption of intraregional global value chains, risks of unsustainable export-oriented models, risks of reversing the process of regional economic integration in Asia, and so on. Asia's emerging economies must plan ahead, from nurturing the final consumer market to establishing a new mechanism for regional economic cooperation to explore development models adapted to the new international environment.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院;
【分类号】：F113
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本文编号：1617562